Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34447577›Full record

ArticleEvolution, medicine, and public health2021

Variants in SARS-CoV-2 associated with mild or severe outcome.

Jameson D Voss, Martin Skarzynski, Erin M McAuley, Ezekiel J Maier, Thomas Gibbons, Anthony C Fries, Richard R Chapleau

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Evolution, medicine, and public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Viruses · 2025
    Article
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  4. Drug Cocktail Formulation via Circuit Design.IEEE transactions on molecular, biological, and multi-scale communications · 2023
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
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  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Observational
  19. Jumping a Moving Train: SARS-CoV-2 Evolution in Real Time.Journal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society · 2021
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jameson D VossUS Air Force Medical Readiness Agency, Falls Church, VA 22042, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4104-1744
Martin SkarzynskiBooz Allen Hamilton, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA.
Erin M McAuleyBooz Allen Hamilton, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA.
Ezekiel J MaierBooz Allen Hamilton, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA.
Thomas Gibbons59th Medical Wing, Joint Base San Antonio, TX 78234, USA.
Anthony C FriesPublic Health and Preventive Medicine Department, US Air Force School of Aerospace Medicine, Wright Patterson AFB, OH 45433, USA.
Richard R ChapleauPublic Health and Preventive Medicine Department, US Air Force School of Aerospace Medicine, Wright Patterson AFB, OH 45433, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is a global public health emergency causing a disparate burden of death and disability around the world. The viral genetic variants associated with outcome severity are still being discovered.

methodsWe downloaded 155 958 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) genomes from GISAID. Of these genomes, 3637 samples included useable metadata on patient outcomes. Using this subset, we evaluated whether SARS-CoV-2 viral genomic variants improved prediction of reported severity beyond age and region. First, we established whether including genomic variants as model features meaningfully increased the predictive power of our model. Next, we evaluated specific variants in order to determine the magnitude of association with severity and the frequency of these variants among SARS-CoV-2 genomes.

resultsLogistic regression models that included viral genomic variants outperformed other models (area under the curve = 0.91 as compared with 0.68 for age and gender alone;

conclusionNumerous SARS-CoV-2 variants have 2-fold or greater association with odds of mild or severe outcome and collectively, these variants are common. In addition to comprehensive mitigation efforts, public health measures should be prioritized to control the more severe manifestations of COVID-19 and the transmission chains linked to these severe cases.

Indexed as

communicable disease controlCOVID-19epidemiologic surveillancehumanmolecular epidemiologySARS-CoV-2virulence

Identifiers

PMID34447577
PMCPMC8385248

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.