Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34442430›Full record

ArticleJournal of personalized medicine2021

Progression-Free Survival Prediction in Patients with Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma after Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy: Machine Learning vs. Traditional Statistics.

Ronald Wihal Oei, Yingchen Lyu, Lulu Ye, Fangfang Kong, Chengrun Du, Ruiping Zhai, Tingting Xu, Chunying Shen, Xiayun He, Lin Kong and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of personalized medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Ronald Wihal OeiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.
Yingchen LyuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.
Lulu YeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.
Fangfang KongDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.
Chengrun DuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.
Ruiping ZhaiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.
Tingting XuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.
Chunying ShenDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.
Xiayun HeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.
Lin KongDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.
Chaosu HuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.
Hongmei YingDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3111-648X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Cox proportional hazards (CPH) model is the most commonly used statistical method for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) prognostication. Recently, machine learning (ML) models are increasingly adopted for this purpose. However, only a few studies have compared the performances between CPH and ML models. This study aimed at comparing CPH with two state-of-the-art ML algorithms, namely, conditional survival forest (CSF) and DeepSurv for disease progression prediction in NPC.

methodsFrom January 2010 to March 2013, 412 eligible NPC patients were reviewed. The entire dataset was split into training cohort and testing cohort in a ratio of 90%:10%. Ten features from patient-related, disease-related, and treatment-related data were used to train the models for progression-free survival (PFS) prediction. The model performance was compared using the concordance index (c-index), Brier score, and log-rank test based on the risk stratification results.

resultsDeepSurv (c-index = 0.68, Brier score = 0.13, log-rank test

conclusionsBoth CSF and DeepSurv outperformed CPH in our relatively small dataset. ML-based survival prediction may guide physicians in choosing the most suitable treatment strategy for NPC patients.

Indexed as

intensity-modulated radiotherapymachine learningnasopharyngeal carcinomasurvival predictiontraditional statistics

Identifiers

PMID34442430
PMCPMC8398698

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.