Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34435071›Full record

ArticleEarth's future2021

Risky Development: Increasing Exposure to Natural Hazards in the United States.

Virginia Iglesias, Anna E Braswell, Matthew W Rossi, Maxwell B Joseph, Caitlin McShane, Megan Cattau, Michael J Koontz, Joe McGlinchy, R Chelsea Nagy, Jennifer Balch and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Earth's future, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Virginia IglesiasEarth Lab Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) University of Colorado Boulder CO USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5732-3714
Anna E BraswellEarth Lab Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) University of Colorado Boulder CO USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3677-0635
Matthew W RossiEarth Lab Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) University of Colorado Boulder CO USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1846-5191
Maxwell B JosephEarth Lab Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) University of Colorado Boulder CO USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7745-9990
Caitlin McShaneDepartment of Geography University of Colorado Boulder CO USA.
Megan CattauHuman-Environment Systems Boise State University Boise ID USA.
Michael J KoontzEarth Lab Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) University of Colorado Boulder CO USA.
Joe McGlinchyEarth Lab Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) University of Colorado Boulder CO USA.
R Chelsea NagyEarth Lab Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) University of Colorado Boulder CO USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7168-3289
Jennifer BalchEarth Lab Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) University of Colorado Boulder CO USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3983-7970
Stefan LeykEarth Lab Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) University of Colorado Boulder CO USA.
William R TravisEarth Lab Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) University of Colorado Boulder CO USA.

Funding

University of Colorado Population CenterP2CHD066613 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · PI JANE A MENKEN · 2015 to 2026
$3.7M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD066613
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Losses from natural hazards are escalating dramatically, with more properties and critical infrastructure affected each year. Although the magnitude, intensity, and/or frequency of certain hazards has increased, development contributes to this unsustainable trend, as disasters emerge when natural disturbances meet vulnerable assets and populations. To diagnose development patterns leading to increased exposure in the conterminous United States (CONUS), we identified earthquake, flood, hurricane, tornado, and wildfire hazard hotspots, and overlaid them with land use information from the Historical Settlement Data Compilation data set. Our results show that 57% of structures (homes, schools, hospitals, office buildings, etc.) are located in hazard hotspots, which represent only a third of CONUS area, and ∼1.5 million buildings lie in hotspots for two or more hazards. These critical levels of exposure are the legacy of decades of sustained growth and point to our inability, lack of knowledge, or unwillingness to limit development in hazardous zones. Development in these areas is still growing more rapidly than the baseline rates for the nation, portending larger future losses even if the effects of climate change are not considered.

Indexed as

exposurenatural hazardsriskvulnerabilityZillow

Identifiers

PMID34435071
PMCPMC8365714

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.