Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34434491›Full record

ArticleJournal of advances in modeling earth systems2021

Machine Learning Emulation of Gravity Wave Drag in Numerical Weather Forecasting.

Matthew Chantry, Sam Hatfield, Peter Dueben, Inna Polichtchouk, Tim Palmer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of advances in modeling earth systems, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Climate-invariant machine learning.Science advances · 2024
    Article
  3. Deep Learning Based Cloud Cover Parameterization for ICON.Journal of advances in modeling earth systems · 2022
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Opportunities and challenges for machine learning in weather and climate modelling: hard, medium and soft AI.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Matthew ChantryAtmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics University of Oxford Oxford UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1132-0961
Sam HatfieldEuropean Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reading UK.
Peter DuebenEuropean Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reading UK.
Inna PolichtchoukEuropean Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reading UK.
Tim PalmerAtmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics University of Oxford Oxford UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We assess the value of machine learning as an accelerator for the parameterization schemes of operational weather forecasting systems, specifically the parameterization of nonorographic gravity wave drag. Emulators of this scheme can be trained to produce stable and accurate results up to seasonal forecasting timescales. Generally, networks that are more complex produce emulators that are more accurate. By training on an increased complexity version of the existing parameterization scheme, we build emulators that produce more accurate forecasts. For medium range forecasting, we have found evidence that our emulators are more accurate than the version of the parametrization scheme that is used for operational predictions. Using the current operational CPU hardware, our emulators have a similar computational cost to the existing scheme, but are heavily limited by data movement. On GPU hardware, our emulators perform 10 times faster than the existing scheme on a CPU.

Indexed as

machine learningnumerical weather prediction

Identifiers

PMID34434491
PMCPMC8365632

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.