Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34432152›Full record

ArticleHistory and philosophy of the life sciences2021

Epidemiological models and COVID-19: a comparative view.

Valeriano Iranzo, Saúl Pérez-González

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in History and philosophy of the life sciences, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Valeriano IranzoDepartment of Philosophy, University of Valencia, Valencia, Spain. iranzov@uv.es.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6432-9284
Saúl Pérez-GonzálezCenter for Logic, Language, and Cognition (LLC), Department of Philosophy and Education Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9594-9558

Funding

italian ministry of university and research PRIN project "From Models to Decisions"Narodowe Centrum Nauki 2019/35/B/HS1/03281Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation FFI2016-76799-PSpanish Ministry of Science and Innovation FFI2017-89639-P
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Epidemiological models have played a central role in the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly when urgent decisions were required and available evidence was sparse. They have been used to predict the evolution of the disease and to inform policy-making. In this paper, we address two kinds of epidemiological models widely used in the pandemic, namely, compartmental models and agent-based models. After describing their essentials-some real examples are invoked-we discuss their main strengths and weaknesses. Then, on the basis of this analysis, we make a comparison between their respective merits concerning three different goals: prediction, explanation, and intervention. We argue that there are general considerations which could favour any of those sorts of models for obtaining the aforementioned goals. We conclude, however, that preference for particular models must be grounded case-by-case since additional contextual factors, as the peculiarities of the target population and the aims and expectations of policy-makers, cannot be overlooked.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalCOVID-19Decision MakingHumansPolicy MakingSARS-CoV-2Agent-based modelsCompartmental modelsCOVID-19Decision-makingEpidemiologyPrediction

Identifiers

PMID34432152
PMCPMC8386152

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.