ArticleNature communications2021
Nonlinear shifts in infectious rust disease due to climate change.
Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 27 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed, 96 citations in OpenAlex.
- Emerging Threats in Southern U.S. Pine Plantations: Temporal Dynamics of Fungal Communities and the Impact of Lecanosticta acicola.Microbial ecology · 2026Article
- Establishment of a Visual LAMP Technology and Detection ofJournal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Tree diversity shapes soil bacterial community structure under low abiotic heterogeneity in the Atlantic forest.Archives of microbiology · 2026Article
- Water Limitation Causes Early-Stage Metabolic Perturbation in the Interaction of Soybean and Asian Soybean Rust.Journal of agricultural and food chemistry · 2026Article
- Local adaptation of both plant and pathogen: an arms-race compromise in switchgrass rust.The New phytologist · 2025Article
- High-resolution climate data reveals increased risk of Pierce's disease for grapevines worldwide.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- RustMapper: White Pine Blister Rust Risk Across High Elevation Forests in the Western United States.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Stomata-targeted nanocarriers enhance plant defense against pathogen colonization.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Checklist of Rust Fungi (Basidiomycota, Pucciniales) and their hosts in Indiana, United States of America.MycoKeys · 2025Article
- Impacts of Weather Anomalies and Climate on Plant Disease.Ecology letters · 2025Review
- Remote sensing-based detection of brown spot needle blight: a comprehensive review, and future directions.PeerJ · 2025Review
- Causal Inference With Observational Data and Unobserved Confounding Variables.Ecology letters · 2025Review
- Carbon, climate, and natural disturbance: a review of mechanisms, challenges, and tools for understanding forest carbon stability in an uncertain future.Carbon balance and management · 2024Review
- A Mosquito Parasite Is Locally Adapted to Its Host but Not Temperature.The American naturalist · 2024Article
- The mediating role of pro-environmental attitude and intention on the translation from climate change health risk perception to pro-environmental behavior.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Global warming significantly increases the risk of Pierce's disease epidemics in European vineyards.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Interconnecting global threats: climate change, biodiversity loss, and infectious diseases.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2024Review
- Clark's nutcracker forest community visitation: Whitebark pine maintains a keystone seed disperser.Ecology and evolution · 2023Article
- Climate change impacts on plant pathogens, food security and paths forward.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2023Review
- A pathogen's spatial range is not constrained by geographical features in the flax rust pathosystem.Ecology and evolution · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Range shifts of infectious plant disease are expected under climate change. As plant diseases move, emergent abiotic-biotic interactions are predicted to modify their distributions, leading to unexpected changes in disease risk. Evidence of these complex range shifts due to climate change, however, remains largely speculative. Here, we combine a long-term study of the infectious tree disease, white pine blister rust, with a six-year field assessment of drought-disease interactions in the southern Sierra Nevada. We find that climate change between 1996 and 2016 moved the climate optimum of the disease into higher elevations. The nonlinear climate change-disease relationship contributed to an estimated 5.5 (4.4-6.6) percentage points (p.p.) decline in disease prevalence in arid regions and an estimated 6.8 (5.8-7.9) p.p. increase in colder regions. Though climate change likely expanded the suitable area for blister rust by 777.9 (1.0-1392.9) km
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.