ArticleJournal of theoretical biology2021
Modelling COVID-19 dynamics and potential for herd immunity by vaccination in Austria, Luxembourg and Sweden.
Article in Journal of theoretical biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Predictive models for health outcomes due to SARS-CoV-2, including the effect of vaccination: a systematic review.Systematic reviews · 2024Pooled it
- Networked SIRS model with Kalman filter state estimation for epidemic monitoring in Europe.Communications medicine · 2026Article
- The Constrained Disorder Principle Overcomes the Challenges of Methods for Assessing Uncertainty in Biological Systems.Journal of personalized medicine · 2024Review
- Improved estimation of the effective reproduction number with heterogeneous transmission rates and reporting delays.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Wastewater-based surveillance models for COVID-19: A focused review on spatio-temporal models.Heliyon · 2023Review
- Wastewater-based modeling, reconstruction, and prediction for COVID-19 outbreaks in Hungary caused by highly immune evasive variants.Water research · 2023Article
- Determinants of COVID-19 vaccine fatigue.Nature medicine · 2023Article
- Recursive state and parameter estimation of COVID-19 circulating variants dynamics.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Estimating the basic reproduction number from noisy daily data.Journal of theoretical biology · 2022Article
- Evaluating Effects of Dynamic Interventions to Control COVID-19 Pandemic: A Case Study of Guangdong, China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Model-based assessment of COVID-19 epidemic dynamics by wastewater analysis.The Science of the total environment · 2022Article
- Coronavirus vaccine hesitancy among unvaccinated Austrians: Assessing underlying motivations and the effectiveness of interventions based on a cross-sectional survey with two embedded conjoint experiments.The Lancet regional health. Europe · 2022Article
- Mathematical analysis of a COVID-19 model with double dose vaccination in Bangladesh.Results in physics · 2022Article
- Performance of early warning signals for disease re-emergence: A case study on COVID-19 data.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- Lack of practical identifiability may hamper reliable predictions in COVID-19 epidemic models.Science advances · 2022Article
- Ready for Vaccination? COVID-19 Vaccination Willingness of Older People in Austria.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Estimating the impact of interventions against COVID-19: From lockdown to vaccination.PloS one · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Against the COVID-19 pandemic, non-pharmaceutical interventions have been widely applied and vaccinations have taken off. The upcoming question is how the interplay between vaccinations and social measures will shape infections and hospitalizations. Hence, we extend the Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR) model including these elements. We calibrate it to data of Luxembourg, Austria and Sweden until 15 December 2020. Sweden results having the highest fraction of undetected, Luxembourg of infected and all three being far from herd immunity in December. We quantify the level of social interaction, showing that a level around 1/3 of before the pandemic was still required in December to keep the effective reproduction number R
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.