ArticleGland surgery2021
Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for early HER2-positive and lymph node-negative breast cancer.
Article in Gland surgery, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 citations in OpenAlex.
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8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundDual-targeted therapy is currently the standard adjuvant treatment for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive (HER2+) and lymph node-positive (LN+) breast cancer. However, the optimal therapeutic strategy for patients with HER2+ and lymph node-negative (LN-) breast cancer remains unclear. This population-based study aimed to explore the factors associated with survival in patients with HER2+ and LN- breast cancer, and develop a survival-predicting nomogram in the era of trastuzumab-based single-targeted therapy.
methodsWe collected the clinicopathological information of HER2+ and LN- breast cancer patients who underwent chemotherapy and surgery from The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2010-2016, the Trastuzumab-based single-targeted therapy era). We subsequently explored the risk factors for breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS) using a Cox proportional hazards regression model, aiming to identify subgroups with worse prognosis, which would indicate potential demand for dual-targeted therapy. Three- and 5-year survival probability-predictive nomograms were established and subjected to bootstrap internal validation. The concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve were applied to evaluate the performance of the model.
resultsAfter data cleansing, a total of 13,755 patients were included in the current analysis. Using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression, higher clinical T stage, hormone receptors-negative (HR-), and partial mastectomy without radiotherapy were identified as independent risk factors for BCSS and OS in patients with HER2+ and LN- breast cancer. Nomograms for 3- and 5-year BCSS and OS incorporating the selected prognostic factors were established. Calibration curves verified good consistency between the actual and nomogram-predicted survival probability. The C-index values of the BCSS and OS predictions and 95% confidence interval (CI) were 0.773 (0.740-0.806) and 0.764 (0.737-0.791), respectively.
conclusionsHigher clinical T stage, HR-, and partial mastectomy without radiotherapy predicted worse prognosis in patients with HER2+ and LN- breast cancer. In clinical practice, patients can be recommended for single-targeted or dual-targeted therapy according to the individualized factors.
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