Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34421494›Full record

ArticleEJIFCC2021

Predictive Model of Severity in SARS CoV-2 Patients at Hospital Admission Using Blood-Related Parameters.

Laura Criado Gómez, Santiago Villanueva Curto, Maria Belén Pérez Sebastian, Begoña Fernández Jiménez, Melisa Duque Duniol

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EJIFCC, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 42% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Laura Criado GómezHospital Universitario de Móstoles, Servicio Análisis Clínicos, Móstoles, Madrid, Spain.
Santiago Villanueva CurtoHospital Universitario de Móstoles, Servicio Análisis Clínicos, Móstoles, Madrid, Spain.
Maria Belén Pérez SebastianHospital Universitario de Móstoles, Servicio Análisis Clínicos, Móstoles, Madrid, Spain.
Begoña Fernández JiménezHospital Universitario de Móstoles, Servicio de Hematología y Hemoterapia, Móstoles, Madrid, Spain.
Melisa Duque DuniolHospital Universitario de Móstoles, Servicio Análisis Clínicos, Móstoles, Madrid, Spain.
Universidad Francisco de Vitoria · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionBlood test alterations are crucial in SARS CoV-2 (COVID-19) patients. Blood parameters, such as lymphocytes, C reactive protein (CRP), creatinine, lactate dehydrogenase, or D-dimer, are associated with severity and prognosis of SARS CoV-2 patients. This study aims to identify blood-related predictors of severe hospitalization in patients diagnosed with SARS CoV-2.

methodsObservational retrospective study of all rt-PCR and blood-test positive (at 48 hours of hospitalization) SARS CoV-2 diagnosed inpatients between March-May 2020. Deceased and/or ICU inpatients were considered as severe cases, whereas those patients after hospital discharge were considered as non-severe. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify predictors of severity, based on bivariate contrast between severe and mild inpatients.

resultsThe overall sample comprised 540 patients, with 374 mild cases (69.26%), and 166 severe cases (30.75%). The multivariate logistic regression model for predicting SARS CoV-2 severity included lymphocytes, C reactive protein (CRP), creatinine, total protein levels, glucose and aspartate aminotransferase as predictors, showing an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.895 at a threshold of 0.29, with 81.5% of sensitivity and 81% of specificity. DISCUSSION: Our results suggest that our predictive model allows identifying and stratifying SARS CoV-2 patients in risk of developing severe medical complications based on blood-test parameters easily measured at hospital admission, improving health-care resources management and distribution.

Indexed as

blood parametersCOVID-19predictionSARS CoV-2severity

Identifiers

PMID34421494
PMCPMC8343039
OpenAlexW3195237236

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.