Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34419108›Full record

ArticleJournal of orthopaedic surgery and research2021

Nomogram to predict collapse-free survival after core decompression of nontraumatic osteonecrosis of the femoral head.

En-Ze Zhao, Zun-Han Liu, Wei-Nan Zeng, Zi-Chuan Ding, Zhen-Yu Luo, Zong-Ke Zhou

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of orthopaedic surgery and research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

En-Ze Zhao *Department of Orthopedics, Orthopedic Research Institute, West China Hospital/West China School of Medicine, Sichuan University, 37# Wuhou Guoxue Road, Chengdu, People's Republic of China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0680-4267
Zun-Han Liu *Department of Orthopedics, Orthopedic Research Institute, West China Hospital/West China School of Medicine, Sichuan University, 37# Wuhou Guoxue Road, Chengdu, People's Republic of China.
Wei-Nan ZengDepartment of Orthopedics, Orthopedic Research Institute, West China Hospital/West China School of Medicine, Sichuan University, 37# Wuhou Guoxue Road, Chengdu, People's Republic of China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3952-1968
Zi-Chuan DingDepartment of Orthopedics, Orthopedic Research Institute, West China Hospital/West China School of Medicine, Sichuan University, 37# Wuhou Guoxue Road, Chengdu, People's Republic of China.
Zhen-Yu LuoDepartment of Orthopedics, Orthopedic Research Institute, West China Hospital/West China School of Medicine, Sichuan University, 37# Wuhou Guoxue Road, Chengdu, People's Republic of China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6425-1544
Zong-Ke ZhouDepartment of Orthopedics, Orthopedic Research Institute, West China Hospital/West China School of Medicine, Sichuan University, 37# Wuhou Guoxue Road, Chengdu, People's Republic of China. zhouzongke@scu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9037-4756

Funding

department of science and technology of sichuan province 2018SZ0255dream project of ministry of science and technology of the people's republic of china ZYJC18039
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNontraumatic osteonecrosis of the femoral head (NONFH) is a devastating disease, and the risk factors associated with progression into collapse after core decompression (CD) remain poorly defined. Therefore, we aim to define risk factors associated with collapse-free survival (CFS) after CD of precollapse NONFH and to propose a nomogram for individual risk prediction.

methodsAccording to the baseline characteristics, clinical information, radiographic evaluations, and laboratory examination, a nomogram was developed using a single institutional cohort of patients who received multiple drilling for precollapse NONFH between January 2007 and December 2019 to predict CFS after CD of precollapse NONFH. Furthermore, we used C statistics, calibration plot, and Kaplan-Meier curve to test the discriminative ability and calibration of the nomogram to predict CFS.

resultsOne hundred and seventy-three patients who underwent CD for precollapse NONFH were retrospectively screened and included in the present study. Using a multiple Cox regression to identify relevant risk factors, the following risk factors were incorporated in the prediction of CFS: acute onset of symptom (HR, 2.78; 95% CI, 1.03-7.48; P = 0.043), necrotic location of Japanese Investigation Committee (JIC) C1 and C2 (HR, 3.67; 95% CI, 1.20-11.27; P = 0.023), necrotic angle in the range of 250-299°(HR, 5.08; 95% CI, 1.73-14.93; P = 0.003) and > 299° (HR, 9.96; 95% CI, 3.23-30.70; P < 0.001), and bone marrow edema (BME) before CD (HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.02-4.02; P = 0.042). The C statistics was 0.82 for CFS which revealed good discriminative ability and calibration of the nomogram.

conclusionsIndependent predictors of progression into collapse after CD for precollapse NONFH were identified to develop a nomogram predicting CFS. In addition, the nomogram could divide precollapse NONFH patients into prognosis groups and performed well in internal validation.

Indexed as

Femur Head NecrosisDecompressionFemur HeadHumansNomogramsRetrospective StudiesCore decompressionNomogramRisk factorsTotal hip arthroplasty

Identifiers

PMID34419108
PMCPMC8379846

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.