Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34417919›Full record

ArticleAnnals of intensive care2021

Lactate is associated with mortality in very old intensive care patients suffering from COVID-19: results from an international observational study of 2860 patients.

Raphael Romano Bruno, Bernhard Wernly, Hans Flaatten, Jesper Fjølner, Antonio Artigas, Bernardo Bollen Pinto, Joerg C Schefold, Stephan Binnebössel, Philipp Heinrich Baldia, Malte Kelm and 20 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of intensive care, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04321265 (Outcomes and Prognostic Factors in Coronavirus Disease), which is not on this map. Cited by 34 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04321265 unknown statusnot on this map

Outcomes and Prognostic Factors in Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) in Very Old Intensive Care Patients

TypeobservationalSponsorHeinrich-Heine University, DuesseldorfRan2020 to 2023Enrolled1,500ConditionsCOVID-19, Elderly Patients, Critical Illness, Survival
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  4. Age-related differences in sepsis outcomes: A comparative analysis of elderly and very elderly ICU patients.Journal of critical care medicine (Universitatea de Medicina si Farmacie din Targu-Mures) · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

30 authors.

Raphael Romano Bruno *Department of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Medical Faculty, Heinrich-Heine-University Duesseldorf, Moorenstraße 5, 40225, Duesseldorf, Germany.
Bernhard Wernly *Department of Anaesthesiology, Perioperative Medicine and Intensive Care Medicine, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria.
Hans FlaattenDepartment of Clinical Medicine, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway.
Jesper FjølnerDepartment of Intensive Care, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Antonio ArtigasDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, CIBER Enfermedades Respiratorias, Corporacion Sanitaria Universitaria Parc Tauli, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Sabadell, Spain.
Bernardo Bollen PintoDepartment of Acute Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland.
Joerg C SchefoldDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, Inselspital, Universitätsspital, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Stephan BinnebösselDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Medical Faculty, Heinrich-Heine-University Duesseldorf, Moorenstraße 5, 40225, Duesseldorf, Germany.
Philipp Heinrich BaldiaDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Medical Faculty, Heinrich-Heine-University Duesseldorf, Moorenstraße 5, 40225, Duesseldorf, Germany.
Malte KelmDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Medical Faculty, Heinrich-Heine-University Duesseldorf, Moorenstraße 5, 40225, Duesseldorf, Germany.
Michael BeilDeptartment of Medical Intensive Care, Hadassah Medical Center and Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Sivri SigalDeptartment of Medical Intensive Care, Hadassah Medical Center and Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Peter Vernon van HeerdenGeneral Intensive Care Unit, Deptartment of Anesthesiology, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Hadassah Medical Center and Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Wojciech SzczeklikCenter for Intensive Care and Perioperative Medicine, Jagiellonian University Medical College, Krakow, Poland.
Muhammed ElhadiFaculty of Medicine, University of Tripoli, Tripoli, Libya.
Michael JoannidisDivision of Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Medical University Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.
Sandra OeyenDepartment of Intensive Care 1K12IC, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium.
Tilemachos ZafeiridisIntensive Care Unit General Hospital of Larissa, Larissa, Greece.
Jakob WollbornDepartment of Anesthesiolgy, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA.
Maria José Arche BanzoHospital Clínico Universitario Lozano Blesa, Zaragoza, Spain.
Kristina FuestDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, Klinikum Rechts Der Isar, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Brian MarshMater Misericordiae University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland.
Finn H AndersenDepartment of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, Ålesund Hospital, Ålesund, Norway.
Rui MorenoUnidade de Cuidados Intensivos Neurocríticos E Trauma, Hospital de São José, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Lisboa Central, Faculdade de Ciências Médicas de Lisboa, Nova Medical School, Lisbon, Portugal.
Susannah LeaverGeneral Intensive Care, St George´S University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Ariane BoumendilInstitut Pierre Louis D'Epidémiologie Et de Santé Publique, Equipe: épidémiologie hospitalière qualité et organisation des soins, Sorbonne Universités, UPMC Univ Paris 06, INSERM, UMR_S 1136, 75012, Paris, France.
Dylan W De LangeDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, University Medical Center, University Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Bertrand GuidetInstitut Pierre Louis D'Epidémiologie Et de Santé Publique, Equipe: épidémiologie hospitalière qualité et organisation des soins, Sorbonne Universités, UPMC Univ Paris 06, INSERM, UMR_S 1136, 75012, Paris, France.
Christian JungDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Medical Faculty, Heinrich-Heine-University Duesseldorf, Moorenstraße 5, 40225, Duesseldorf, Germany. christian.jung@med.uni-duesseldorf.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8325-250X
COVIP Study Group

Funding

Horizon 2020 831644
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeLactate is an established prognosticator in critical care. However, there still is insufficient evidence about its role in predicting outcome in COVID-19. This is of particular concern in older patients who have been mostly affected during the initial surge in 2020.

methodsThis prospective international observation study (The COVIP study) recruited patients aged 70 years or older (ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT04321265) admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) with COVID-19 disease from March 2020 to February 2021. In addition to serial lactate values (arterial blood gas analysis), we recorded several parameters, including SOFA score, ICU procedures, limitation of care, ICU- and 3-month mortality. A lactate concentration ≥ 2.0 mmol/L on the day of ICU admission (baseline) was defined as abnormal. The primary outcome was ICU-mortality. The secondary outcomes 30-day and 3-month mortality.

resultsIn total, data from 2860 patients were analyzed. In most patients (68%), serum lactate was lower than 2 mmol/L. Elevated baseline serum lactate was associated with significantly higher ICU- and 3-month mortality (53% vs. 43%, and 71% vs. 57%, respectively, p < 0.001). In the multivariable analysis, the maximum lactate concentration on day 1 was independently associated with ICU mortality (aOR 1.06 95% CI 1.02-1.11; p = 0.007), 30-day mortality (aOR 1.07 95% CI 1.02-1.13; p = 0.005) and 3-month mortality (aOR 1.15 95% CI 1.08-1.24; p < 0.001) after adjustment for age, gender, SOFA score, and frailty. In 826 patients with baseline lactate ≥ 2 mmol/L sufficient data to calculate the difference between maximal levels on days 1 and 2 (∆ serum lactate) were available. A decreasing lactate concentration over time was inversely associated with ICU mortality after multivariate adjustment for SOFA score, age, Clinical Frailty Scale, and gender (aOR 0.60 95% CI 0.42-0.85; p = 0.004).

conclusionIn critically ill old intensive care patients suffering from COVID-19, lactate and its kinetics are valuable tools for outcome prediction. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04321265.

Identifiers

PMID34417919
PMCPMC8379577

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