Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34416075›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of transplantation : official journal of the American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons2022

Development and validation of a simple web-based tool for early prediction of COVID-19-associated death in kidney transplant recipients.

Luis Gustavo Modelli de Andrade, Tainá Veras de Sandes-Freitas, Lúcio R Requião-Moura, Laila Almeida Viana, Marina Pontello Cristelli, Valter Duro Garcia, Aline Lima Cunha Alcântara, Ronaldo de Matos Esmeraldo, Mario Abbud Filho, Alvaro Pacheco-Silva and 14 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of transplantation : official journal of the American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04494776 (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2), which is not on this map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04494776 recruitingnot on this map

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2) Infection (COVID-19) in Kidney Transplant Recipients: a Brazilian Multicenter Study

TypeobservationalSponsorHelio Tedesco Silva JuniorRan2020 to 2025Enrolled500ConditionsSARS-CoV-2 Infection, Kidney Transplant Infection
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. An overview of COVID-19 in solid organ transplantation.Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases · 2022
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors at 17 institutions in 1 country.

Luis Gustavo Modelli de AndradeDepartment of Internal Medicine, Universidade Estadual Paulista-UNESP, Botucatu, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-0230-0766
Tainá Veras de Sandes-FreitasDepartment of Clinical Medicine, Federal University of Ceará, Fortaleza, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-4435-0614
Lúcio R Requião-MouraDepartment of Medicine, Nephrology Division, Federal University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-8751-9048
Laila Almeida VianaDepartment of Transplantation, Hospital do Rim, Fundação Oswaldo Ramos, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-5064-9735
Marina Pontello CristelliDepartment of Transplantation, Hospital do Rim, Fundação Oswaldo Ramos, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-2813-0400
Valter Duro GarciaSanta Casa de Misericórdia de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-7394-1501
Aline Lima Cunha AlcântaraHospital Universitário Walter Cantídio, Fortaleza, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-5010-798X
Ronaldo de Matos EsmeraldoHospital Geral de Fortaleza, Fortaleza, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-6327-9991
Mario Abbud FilhoHospital de Base, Medical School FAMERP, São José do Rio Preto, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-5079-9813
Alvaro Pacheco-SilvaRenal Transplant Unit, Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-0293-976X
Erika Cristina Ribeiro de Lima CarneiroFederal University of Maranhão, São Luiz, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-5785-2114
Roberto Ceratti ManfroHospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Federal Univertisy of Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-8324-3734
Kellen Micheline Alves Henrique CostaDivision of Nephrology and Kidney Transplantation, Onofre Lopes University Hospital, Natal, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-3780-8655
Denise Rodrigues SimãoHospital Santa Isabel, Blumenau, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-2191-6678
Marcos Vinicius de SousaDivision of Nephrology, School of Medical Sciences, Renal Transplant Unit, Renal Transplant Research Laboratoy, University of Campinas - UNICAMP, Campinas, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-0280-1069
Viviane Brandão Bandeira de Mello SantanaHospital de Base de Brasília, Brasília, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-4380-2962
Irene L NoronhaHospital Beneficência Portuguesa de São Paulo (BP), São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-3208-4435
Elen Almeida RomãoDivision of Nephrology, School of Medicine of Ribeirão Preto, University of Sao Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-9302-3089
Juliana Aparecida ZanoccoHospital Santa Marcelina, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-9274-7969
Gustavo Guilherme Queiroz ArimateaHospital Universitário de Brasília, University of Brasília - UnB, Brasília, DF, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-9141-3035
Deise De Boni Monteiro de CarvalhoHospital São Francisco na Providência de Deus, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-0393-3047
Helio Tedesco-SilvaDepartment of Medicine, Nephrology Division, Federal University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-9896-323X
José Medina-PestanaDepartment of Medicine, Nephrology Division, Federal University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-0750-7360
COVID-19-KT Brazil
Hospital do Rim e Hipertensão · BRHospital Israelita Albert Einstein · BRBeneficência Portuguesa de São Paulo · BRFaculdade de Medicina de São José do Rio Preto · BRHospital de Base · BRHospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre · BRHospital Geral de Fortaleza · BRHospital Santa Marcelina · BRHospital Universitário Onofre Lopes · BRHospital Universitário Walter Cantídio · BRSanta Casa de Misericórdia de Marília · BRUniversidade de Brasília · BRUniversidade de São Paulo · BRUniversidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) · BRUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) · BRUniversidade Federal do Ceará · BRUniversidade Federal do Maranhão · BR

Funding

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - Brasil (CAPES) 88881.507066/2020-01Novartis Pharma Brazil
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This analysis, using data from the Brazilian kidney transplant (KT) COVID-19 study, seeks to develop a prediction score to assist in COVID-19 risk stratification in KT recipients. In this study, 1379 patients (35 sites) were enrolled, and a machine learning approach was used to fit models in a derivation cohort. A reduced Elastic Net model was selected, and the accuracy to predict the 28-day fatality after the COVID-19 diagnosis, assessed by the area under the ROC curve (AUC-ROC), was confirmed in a validation cohort. The better calibration values were used to build the applicable ImAgeS score. The 28-day fatality rate was 17% (n = 235), which was associated with increasing age, hypertension and cardiovascular disease, higher body mass index, dyspnea, and use of mycophenolate acid or azathioprine. Higher kidney graft function, longer time of symptoms until COVID-19 diagnosis, presence of anosmia or coryza, and use of mTOR inhibitor were associated with reduced risk of death. The coefficients of the best model were used to build the predictive score, which achieved an AUC-ROC of 0.767 (95% CI 0.698-0.834) in the validation cohort. In conclusion, the easily applicable predictive model could assist health care practitioners in identifying non-hospitalized kidney transplant patients that may require more intensive monitoring. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04494776.

Indexed as

COVID-19Kidney TransplantationCOVID-19 TestingHumansInternetRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveSARS-CoV-2Transplant Recipientsclinical research/practicecomplication: infectioushealth services and outcomes researchinfection and infectious agents - viralinfectious diseasekidney transplantation/nephrology

Identifiers

PMID34416075
PMCPMC8441938
OpenAlexW3193458527

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.