Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34415927›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

Low autonomic arousal as a risk factor for reoffending: A population-based study.

Sofi Oskarsson, Ralf Kuja-Halkola, Antti Latvala, Anneli Andersson, Miguel Garcia-Argibay, Bridget M Bertoldi, Adrian Raine, Christopher J Patrick, Henrik Larsson, Catherine Tuvblad

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Sofi OskarssonSchool of Psychology, Law and Social Work, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-1704-9543
Ralf Kuja-HalkolaDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden.
Antti LatvalaInstitute of Criminology and Legal Policy, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Anneli AnderssonSchool of Medical Sciences, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.
Miguel Garcia-ArgibaySchool of Medical Sciences, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-4811-2330
Bridget M BertoldiDepartment of Psychology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America.
Adrian RaineDepartment of Criminology, Psychiatry, and Psychology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Christopher J PatrickDepartment of Psychology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America.
Henrik LarssonDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden.
Catherine TuvbladSchool of Psychology, Law and Social Work, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.
Örebro University · SEFlorida State University · USKarolinska Institutet · SEUniversity of Helsinki · FIUniversity of Pennsylvania · USUniversity of Southern California · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLow resting heart rate (RHR) and low systolic blood pressure (SBP) are associated with criminal behavior. However, knowledge is lacking about their predictive value for reoffending.

aimWe aimed to examine associations of RHR and SBP with reoffending in a large population-based sample.

methodsWe conducted a cohort study of all convicted male conscripts born in Sweden 1958-1990 (N = 407,533). We obtained data by linking Swedish population-based registers. Predictor variables were RHR and SBP, measured at conscription which was mandatory until 2010 for men at age 18. The outcome variable was reoffending, defined as criminal convictions (any crime, violent crime and non-violent crime), obtained from the National Crime Register. We used survival analyses to test for associations of RHR and SBP with reoffending, adjusting for pertinent covariates such as socioeconomic status, height, weight and physical energy capacity.

resultsIn fully adjusted Cox regression models, men with lower RHR (≤60 bpm) had higher risk of reoffending (any crime: HR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.14, 1.19, violent crime: HR = 1.23, 95% CI: 1.17, 1.29, non-violent crime: HR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.14, 1.19), compared to men with higher RHR (≥ 82 bpm). Men with lower SBP (≤80 mmHg) had higher risk of reoffending (any crime: HR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.17, 1.21, violent crime: HR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.12, 1.20, non-violent crime: HR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.18, 1.22), compared to men with higher SBP (≥138 mmHg).

conclusionsLow autonomic arousal is associated with increased risk of reoffending. RHR and SBP should be investigated further as potential predictors for reoffending as they each may have predictive value in risk assessment protocols.

Indexed as

CrimeAdolescentAdultArousalAutonomic Nervous SystemBehaviorBlood PressureCohort StudiesFearHeart RateHumansMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRegistriesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID34415927
PMCPMC8378731
OpenAlexW3194947502

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.