Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34407639›Full record

ArticleStroke2021

Optimizing Emergency Stroke Transport Strategies Using Physiological Models.

Daniel A Paydarfar, David Paydarfar, Peter J Mucha, Joshua Chang

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Stroke, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 35% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Daniel A PaydarfarCarolina Center for Interdisciplinary Applied Mathematics, Department of Mathematics (D.A.P., P.J.M.), University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.ORCID 0000-0003-2790-3528
David PaydarfarDepartments of Neurology (D.P., J.C.), Dell Medical School, Mulva Clinic for the Neurosciences and Oden Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, The University of Texas at Austin.
Peter J MuchaCarolina Center for Interdisciplinary Applied Mathematics, Department of Mathematics (D.A.P., P.J.M.), University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.ORCID 0000-0002-0648-7230
Joshua ChangDepartments of Neurology (D.P., J.C.), Dell Medical School, Mulva Clinic for the Neurosciences and Oden Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, The University of Texas at Austin.ORCID 0000-0003-4088-5467
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USThe University of Texas at Austin · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background and purposeThe criteria for choosing between drip and ship and mothership transport strategies in emergency stroke care is widely debated. Although existing data-driven probability models can inform transport decision-making at an epidemiological level, we propose a novel mathematical, physiologically derived framework that provides insight into how patient characteristics underlying infarct core growth influence these decisions.

methodsWe represent the physiology of time-dependent infarct core growth within an ischemic penumbra as an exponential function with consideration to rate-determining collateral blood flow. Monte Carlo methods generate distributions of infarct core volumes, which are translated to distributions of 90-day modified Rankin Scale scores. We apply the model to a stroke network that serves rural Bastrop County and urban Travis County by simulating transport strategies from thousands of potential patient pickup locations. In every pickup location, the simulation yields a distribution of outcomes corresponding to each transport strategy. A 2-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and Student

resultsIn Travis County, drip and ship provides significantly better probabilities of a good outcome in 24.0% of the pickup locations, while 59.8% favor mothership. In Bastrop County, 11.3% of the pickup locations favor drip and ship, while only 7.1% favor mothership. The remaining pickup locations in each county are not statistically significant in either direction. We also reveal how differing rates of infarct core growth, the application of bypass policies, and the use of large vessel occlusion field tests impact these results.

conclusionsModeling stroke physiology enables the use of clinically relevant metrics for determining comparative significance between drip and ship and mothership in a given geography. This formalism can help understand and inform emergency medical service transport decision-making, as well as regional bypass policies.

Indexed as

Models, NeurologicalModels, TheoreticalHumansStrokeTime-to-TreatmentTransportation of Patientscollateral circulationgeographyphysiologythrombectomy

Identifiers

PMID34407639
PMCPMC8607917
OpenAlexW3195238757

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.