ArticleNature communications2021
High COVID-19 transmission potential associated with re-opening universities can be mitigated with layered interventions.
Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers.
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Who cites it
36 citing papers in PubMed.
- The Risk from Reopening International Travel During a Disease X Pandemic: A Case Study of SARS-CoV-2.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2026Article
- Assessing vertical transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in high-rise apartments via a joint epidemiologic and modeling investigation.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Public perception of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia during the Omicron wave: recommendations for policy improvement.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Who We Test For: Aligning Relational and Public Health Responsibilities in COVID-19 Testing in Scotland.Medical anthropology · 2024Article
- Investigating the rise of Omicron variant through genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 infections in a highly vaccinated university population.Microbial genomics · 2024Article
- Campus source to sink wastewater surveillance of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2).Current research in microbial sciences · 2024Article
- Comparing intervention measures in a model of a disease outbreak on a university campus.Royal Society open science · 2023Article
- Evidence of leaky protection following COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection in an incarcerated population.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Social contact patterns relevant for infectious disease transmission in Cambodia.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Modeling community COVID-19 transmission risk associated with U.S. universities.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Article
- A general urban spreading pattern of COVID-19 and its underlying mechanism.npj urban sustainability · 2023Article
- The strategies of private higher educational institutions during the Covid-19 pandemic. A review of literature.Social sciences & humanities open · 2023Review
- General infection prevention, mitigation, and control procedures implemented in the university education during the COVID-19 pandemic to achieve classroom attendance: a successful community case study.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Effective screening strategies for safe opening of universities under Omicron and Delta variants of COVID-19.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Social risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 acquisition in university students: cross sectional survey.Epidemiology and infection · 2022Article
- Workforce Experiences of a Rapidly Established SARS-CoV-2 Asymptomatic Testing Service in a Higher Education Setting: A Qualitative Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- COVID-19 Exposure Assessment Tool (CEAT): Exposure quantification based on ventilation, infection prevalence, group characteristics, and behavior.Science advances · 2022Article
- Article
- 'Whiteness is anHigher education · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
11 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Controlling COVID-19 transmission in universities poses challenges due to the complex social networks and potential for asymptomatic spread. We developed a stochastic transmission model based on realistic mixing patterns and evaluated alternative mitigation strategies. We predict, for plausible model parameters, that if asymptomatic cases are half as infectious as symptomatic cases, then 15% (98% Prediction Interval: 6-35%) of students could be infected during the first term without additional control measures. First year students are the main drivers of transmission with the highest infection rates, largely due to communal residences. In isolation, reducing face-to-face teaching is the most effective intervention considered, however layering multiple interventions could reduce infection rates by 75%. Fortnightly or more frequent mass testing is required to impact transmission and was not the most effective option considered. Our findings suggest that additional outbreak control measures should be considered for university settings.
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