Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34400826›Full record

ArticleNature ecology & evolution2021

A global-scale expert assessment of drivers and risks associated with pollinator decline.

Lynn V Dicks, Tom D Breeze, Hien T Ngo, Deepa Senapathi, Jiandong An, Marcelo A Aizen, Parthiba Basu, Damayanti Buchori, Leonardo Galetto, Lucas A Garibaldi and 11 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · bronzeAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 118 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
118citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
114.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

118 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 496 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Intensive arable farming calls for resilient wild bee restoration amid severe abundance fluctuations.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Sweet products, subtle residues: neonicotinoid contaminations in commercial honey from Thailand.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. DietaryInsects · 2026
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review

58 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors at 16 institutions in 15 countries.

Lynn V DicksDepartment of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. lynn.dicks@zoo.cam.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8304-4468
Tom D BreezeCentre for Agri-Environmental Research, School of Agriculture, Policy and Development, Reading University, Reading, UK.
Hien T NgoIPBES Secretariat, Bonn, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3070-9988
Deepa SenapathiCentre for Agri-Environmental Research, School of Agriculture, Policy and Development, Reading University, Reading, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8883-1583
Jiandong AnInstitute of Apicultural Research, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4203-4554
Marcelo A AizenInstituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente (INIBIOMA), Universidad Nacional del Comahue-CONICET, Río Negro, Argentina.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9079-9749
Parthiba BasuDepartment of Zoology, University of Calcutta, Kolkata, India.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8942-0161
Damayanti BuchoriCenter for Transdisciplinary and Sustainability Sciences, IPB University, Jalan Pajajaran, Indonesia.
Leonardo GalettoFacultad de Ciencias Exactas, Físicas y Naturales, Universidad de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3828-657X
Lucas A GaribaldiInstituto de Investigaciones en Recursos Naturales, Agroecología y Desarrollo Rural, Universidad Nacional de Río Negro, Río Negro, Argentina.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0725-4049
Barbara Gemmill-HerrenWorld Agroforestry Centre, Nairobi, Kenya.
Brad G HowlettThe New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited, Lincoln, New Zealand.
Vera L Imperatriz-FonsecaBiosciences Institute, University of Sao Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1079-2158
Steven D JohnsonCentre for Functional Biodiversity, School of Life Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa.
Anikó Kovács-HostyánszkiInstitute of Ecology and Botany, Centre for Ecological Research, Vácrátót, Hungary.
Yong Jung KwonSchool of Applied Biosciences, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Korea.
H Michael G LattorffInternational Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology (icipe), Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8603-6332
Thingreipi LungharwoNaga Women's Union, Manipur, India.
Colleen L SeymourSouth African National Biodiversity Institute (SANBI), Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Claremont, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6729-2576
Adam J VanbergenAgroécologie, AgroSup Dijon, INRAE, University of Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Dijon, France.
Simon G PottsCentre for Agri-Environmental Research, School of Agriculture, Policy and Development, Reading University, Reading, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2045-980X
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas · ARUniversity of Reading · GBChinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences · CNInstitute of Ecology and Botany · HUInstitut National de Recherche pour l'Agriculture, l'Alimentation et l'Environnement · FRIntergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services · DEInternational Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology · KEIPB University · IDKyungpook National University · KRPlant & Food Research · NZPrescott College · USUniversidade de São Paulo · BRUniversity of Calcutta · INUniversity of Cape Town · ZAUniversity of East Anglia · GBUniversity of KwaZulu-Natal · ZA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Pollinator decline has attracted global attention and substantial efforts are underway to respond through national pollinator strategies and action plans. These policy responses require clarity on what is driving pollinator decline and what risks it generates for society in different parts of the world. Using a formal expert elicitation process, we evaluated the relative regional and global importance of eight drivers of pollinator decline and ten consequent risks to human well-being. Our results indicate that global policy responses should focus on reducing pressure from changes in land cover and configuration, land management and pesticides, as these were considered very important drivers in most regions. We quantify how the importance of drivers and risks from pollinator decline, differ among regions. For example, losing access to managed pollinators was considered a serious risk only for people in North America, whereas yield instability in pollinator-dependent crops was classed as a serious or high risk in four regions but only a moderate risk in Europe and North America. Overall, perceived risks were substantially higher in the Global South. Despite extensive research on pollinator decline, our analysis reveals considerable scientific uncertainty about what this means for human society.

Indexed as

PesticidesPollinationCrops, AgriculturalEuropeHumansNorth AmericaPesticides

Identifiers

PMID34400826
OpenAlexW3193313333

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.