ArticleJournal of safety research2021
Identifying the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on driving behavior using naturalistic driving data and time series forecasting.
Article in Journal of safety research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed.
- Clustering-based methodology for comparing multi-characteristic epidemiological dynamics with application to COVID-19 epidemiology in Europe.Royal Society open science · 2025Article
- Pandemic paradox: traffic mortality trends during COVID-19 in Campinas, 2019-2023.Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology · 2025Observational
- Research on Active Safety Situation of Road Passenger Transportation Enterprises: Evaluation, Prediction, and Analysis.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Crash harm before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence for spatial heterogeneity in Tennessee.Accident; analysis and prevention · 2023Article
- One year of COVID-19: Impacts on safe driving behavior and policy recommendations.Journal of safety research · 2023Article
- Impact of Post-Covid-19 on driver behaviour: A perspective towards pandemic-sustained transportation.Journal of transport & health · 2023Review
- Exploring Psychosocial Dynamics Underpinning Driver Identity in an Older Adult Sample.Geriatrics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Investigating the Effect of COVID-19 on Driver Behavior and Road Safety: A Naturalistic Driving Study in Malaysia.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Older Adult Driving in the United States.Journal of applied gerontology : the official journal of the Southern Gerontological Society · 2022Article
- Impacts of COVID-19 Travel Restriction Policies on the Traffic Quality of the National and Provincial Trunk Highway Network: A Case Study of Shaanxi Province.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Injury mortality and morbidity changes due to the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Analysis of the impact of COVID-19 on collisions, fatalities and injuries using time series forecasting: The case of Greece.Accident; analysis and prevention · 2021Article
- Time series prediction of COVID-19 transmission in America using LSTM and XGBoost algorithms.Results in physics · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
introductionCOVID-19 has disrupted daily life and societal flow globally since December 2019; it introduced measures such as lockdown and suspension of all non-essential movements. As a result, driving activity was also significantly affected. Still, to-date, a quantitative assessment of the effect of COVID-19 on driving behavior during the lockdown is yet to be provided. This gap forms the motivation for this paper, which aims at comparing observed values concerning three indicators (average speed, speeding, and harsh braking), with forecasts based on their corresponding observations before the lockdown in Greece.
methodTime series of the three indicators were extracted using a specially developed smartphone application and transmitted to a back-end platform between 01/01/2020 and 09/05/2020, a time period containing normal operations, COVID-19 spreading, and the full lockdown period in Greece. Based on the collected data, XGBoost was employed to identify the most influential COVID-19 indicators, and Seasonal AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models were developed for obtaining forecasts on driving behavior.
resultsResults revealed the intensity of the impact of COVID-19 on driving, especially on average speed, speeding, and harsh braking per 100 km. More specifically, speeds were found to increase by 2.27 km/h on average compared to the forecasted evolution, while harsh braking/100 km increased to almost 1.51 on average. On the bright side, road crashes in Greece were reduced by 49% during the months of COVID-19 compared to the non-COVID-19 period.
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