Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34393695›Full record

ArticleRevstat statistical journal2017

Continuous Post-Market Sequential Safety Surveillance with Minimum Events to Signal.

Martin Kulldorff, Ivair R Silva

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Revstat statistical journal, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Martin KulldorffDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, USA.
Ivair R SilvaDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, USA.
Harvard Pilgrim Health Care · USHarvard University · US

Funding

Software for Near Real-Time Post-Market Drug and Vaccine Safety SurveillanceR01GM108999 · NIGMS · HARVARD PILGRIM HEALTH CARE, INC. · PI KULLDORFF, MARTIN · 2014 to 2017
$1.1M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM108999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The CDC Vaccine Safety Datalink project has pioneered the use of near real-time post-market vaccine safety surveillance for the rapid detection of adverse events. Doing weekly analyses, continuous sequential methods are used, allowing investigators to evaluate the data near-continuously while still maintaining the correct overall alpha level. With continuous sequential monitoring, the null hypothesis may be rejected after only one or two adverse events are observed. In this paper, we explore continuous sequential monitoring when we do not allow the null to be rejected until a minimum number of observed events have occurred. We also evaluate continuous sequential analysis with a delayed start until a certain sample size has been attained. Tables with exact critical values, statistical power and the average times to signal are provided. We show that, with the first option, it is possible to both increase the power and reduce the expected time to signal, while keeping the alpha level the same. The second option is only useful if the start of the surveillance is delayed for logistical reasons, when there is a group of data available at the first analysis, followed by continuous or near-continuous monitoring thereafter.

Indexed as

Continuous sequential analysisDrug safetyPharmacovigilanceSequential probability ratio testSurveillance

Identifiers

PMID34393695
PMCPMC8363220
OpenAlexW1505117888

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.