Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34383756›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2021

Using mobility data in the design of optimal lockdown strategies for the COVID-19 pandemic.

Ritabrata Dutta, Susana N Gomes, Dante Kalise, Lorenzo Pacchiardi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Comparative evaluation of behavioral epidemic models using COVID-19 data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ritabrata DuttaDepartment of Statistics, Warwick University, Coventry, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-8209-7747
Susana N GomesDepartment of Mathematics, Warwick University, Coventry, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8731-367X
Dante KaliseSchool of Mathematical Sciences, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-2327-1957
Lorenzo PacchiardiDepartment of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4760-7638

Funding

Wellcome Trust ECF-2018-536
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A mathematical model for the COVID-19 pandemic spread, which integrates age-structured Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Deceased dynamics with real mobile phone data accounting for the population mobility, is presented. The dynamical model adjustment is performed via Approximate Bayesian Computation. Optimal lockdown and exit strategies are determined based on nonlinear model predictive control, constrained to public-health and socio-economic factors. Through an extensive computational validation of the methodology, it is shown that it is possible to compute robust exit strategies with realistic reduced mobility values to inform public policy making, and we exemplify the applicability of the methodology using datasets from England and France.

Indexed as

PandemicsQuarantineTravelBayes TheoremCOVID-19EnglandFranceHumansSARS-CoV-2Smartphone

Identifiers

PMID34383756
PMCPMC8360388

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.