Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34380426›Full record

ArticleBMC geriatrics2021

Prediction of biological age and all-cause mortality by 12-lead electrocardiogram in patients without structural heart disease.

Naomi Hirota, Shinya Suzuki, Takuto Arita, Naoharu Yagi, Takayuki Otsuka, Takeshi Yamashita

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC geriatrics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  3. Artificial Intelligence-Enhanced Electrocardiography for Predicting Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation From Sinus Rhythm: Impact of Data Integration Across Institutions and Devices.Annals of noninvasive electrocardiology : the official journal of the International Society for Holter and Noninvasive Electrocardiology, Inc · 2026
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  16. All-Subset Analysis Improves the Predictive Accuracy of Biological Age for All-Cause Mortality in Chinese and U.S. Populations.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Naomi HirotaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, 3-2-19 Nishiazabu, Minato-Ku, Tokyo, 106-0031, Japan. n-hirota@cvi.or.jp.ORCID 0000-0003-1184-4228
Shinya SuzukiDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, 3-2-19 Nishiazabu, Minato-Ku, Tokyo, 106-0031, Japan.
Takuto AritaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, 3-2-19 Nishiazabu, Minato-Ku, Tokyo, 106-0031, Japan.
Naoharu YagiDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, 3-2-19 Nishiazabu, Minato-Ku, Tokyo, 106-0031, Japan.
Takayuki OtsukaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, 3-2-19 Nishiazabu, Minato-Ku, Tokyo, 106-0031, Japan.
Takeshi YamashitaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, 3-2-19 Nishiazabu, Minato-Ku, Tokyo, 106-0031, Japan.
Cardiovascular Institute Hospital · JP

Funding

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development (JP) JP17ek0210082
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere is a well-established relationship between 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) and age and mortality. Furthermore, there is increasing evidence that ECG can be used to predict biological age. However, the utility of biological age from ECG for predicting mortality remains unclear.

methodsThis was a single-center cohort study from a cardiology specialized hospital. A total of 19,170 patients registered in this study from February 2010 to March 2018. ECG was analyzed in a final 12,837 patients after excluding those with structural heart disease or with pacing beats, atrial or ventricular tachyarrhythmia, or an indeterminate axis (R axis > 180°) on index ECG. The models for biological age were developed by principal component analysis (BA) and the Klemera and Doubal's method (not adjusted for age [BA

resultsDuring the mean follow-up period of 320.4 days, there were 55 all-cause deaths and 23 cardiovascular deaths. The predictive capabilities for all-cause death by BA, BA

conclusionBiological age by 12-lead ECG showed a similar predictive capability for mortality compared to CA among total patients, but partially showed a significant increase in predictive capability among patients aged 60-74 years old.

Indexed as

AgingHeart DiseasesAlgorithmsCohort StudiesElectrocardiographyHumansPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisAll-cause deathBiological ageCardiovascular deathElectrocardiogram

Identifiers

PMID34380426
PMCPMC8359578
OpenAlexW3117545894

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.