Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34376182›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2021

Evaluation of the added value of viral genomic information for predicting severity of influenza infection.

Nina Van Goethem, Annie Robert, Nathalie Bossuyt, Laura A E Van Poelvoorde, Sophie Quoilin, Sigrid C J De Keersmaecker, Brecht Devleesschauwer, Isabelle Thomas, Kevin Vanneste, Nancy H C Roosens and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 31% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Nina Van GoethemScientific Directorate of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium. nina.vangoethem@sciensano.be.
Annie RobertDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institut de Recherche Expérimentale et Clinique, Faculty of Public Health, Université Catholique de Louvain, Clos Chapelle-aux-champs 30, 1200, Woluwe-Saint-Lambert, Belgium.
Nathalie BossuytScientific Directorate of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium.
Laura A E Van PoelvoordeTransversal Activities in Applied Genomics, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium.
Sophie QuoilinScientific Directorate of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium.
Sigrid C J De KeersmaeckerTransversal Activities in Applied Genomics, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium.
Brecht DevleesschauwerScientific Directorate of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium.
Isabelle ThomasNational Reference Center Influenza, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium.
Kevin VannesteTransversal Activities in Applied Genomics, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium.
Nancy H C Roosens *Transversal Activities in Applied Genomics, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium.
Herman Van Oyen *Scientific Directorate of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, J. Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium.
Sciensano (Belgium) · BEInstitut Scientifique de Santé Publique · BEGhent University · BEGhent University Hospital · BEUCLouvain · BE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe severity of an influenza infection is influenced by both host and viral characteristics. This study aims to assess the relevance of viral genomic data for the prediction of severe influenza A(H3N2) infections among patients hospitalized for severe acute respiratory infection (SARI), in view of risk assessment and patient management.

methods160 A(H3N2) influenza positive samples from the 2016-2017 season originating from the Belgian SARI surveillance were selected for whole genome sequencing. Predictor variables for severity were selected using a penalized elastic net logistic regression model from a combined host and genomic dataset, including patient information and nucleotide mutations identified in the viral genome. The goodness-of-fit of the model combining host and genomic data was compared using a likelihood-ratio test with the model including host data only. Internal validation of model discrimination was conducted by calculating the optimism-adjusted area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC) for both models.

resultsThe model including viral mutations in addition to the host characteristics had an improved fit ([Formula: see text]=12.03, df = 3, p = 0.007). The optimism-adjusted AUC increased from 0.671 to 0.732.

conclusionsAdding genomic data (selected season-specific mutations in the viral genome) to the model containing host characteristics improved the prediction of severe influenza infection among hospitalized SARI patients, thereby offering the potential for translation into a prospective strategy to perform early season risk assessment or to guide individual patient management.

Indexed as

Influenza, HumanGenome, ViralGenomicsHumansInfluenza A Virus, H3N2 SubtypeProspective StudiesHigh-dimensional data analysisPathogen genomicsPredictive modelingSeasonal influenza

Identifiers

PMID34376182
PMCPMC8353062
OpenAlexW3189177041

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.