Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34369970›Full record

ArticleJournal of vision2021

Uncertainty is maintained and used in working memory.

Aspen H Yoo, Luigi Acerbi, Wei Ji Ma

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of vision, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. A population vector model of visual working memory for real-world scenes.Journal of experimental psychology. General · 2026
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  2. A Population Vector Model of Visual Working Memory for Real-World Scenes.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Aspen H YooDepartment of Psychology, New York University, NY, USA.
Luigi AcerbiDepartment of Psychology, New York University, NY, USA.
Wei Ji MaDepartment of Psychology, New York University, NY, USA.

Funding

TRAINING IN VISUAL NEUROSCIENCET32EY007136 · NEI · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY · PI J ANTHONY MOVSHON · 1993 to 2026
$5.3M
The role of short-term memory uncertainty in visual decision-makingR01EY020958 · NEI · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY · PI MA, WEI JI · 2010 to 2018
$2.6M
NEI NIH HHS R01 EY020958NEI NIH HHS T32 EY007136
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

What are the contents of working memory? In both behavioral and neural computational models, a working memory representation is typically described by a single number, namely, a point estimate of a stimulus. Here, we asked if people also maintain the uncertainty associated with a memory and if people use this uncertainty in subsequent decisions. We collected data in a two-condition orientation change detection task; while both conditions measured whether people used memory uncertainty, only one required maintaining it. For each condition, we compared an optimal Bayesian observer model, in which the observer uses an accurate representation of uncertainty in their decision, to one in which the observer does not. We find that this "Use Uncertainty" model fits better for all participants in both conditions. In the first condition, this result suggests that people use uncertainty optimally in a working memory task when that uncertainty information is available at the time of decision, confirming earlier results. Critically, the results of the second condition suggest that this uncertainty information was maintained in working memory. We test model variants and find that our conclusions do not depend on our assumptions about the observer's encoding process, inference process, or decision rule. Our results provide evidence that people have uncertainty that reflects their memory precision on an item-specific level, maintain this information over a working memory delay, and use it implicitly in a way consistent with an optimal observer. These results challenge existing computational models of working memory to update their frameworks to represent uncertainty.

Indexed as

Memory, Short-TermBayes TheoremHumansUncertainty

Identifiers

PMID34369970
PMCPMC8356567

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.