Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34368305›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of clinical cases2021

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for colorectal cancer after surgery.

Bo-Wen Li, Xiao-Yu Ma, Shuang Lai, Xin Sun, Ming-Jun Sun, Bing Chang

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Article in World journal of clinical cases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Bo-Wen LiDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Frist Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110000, Liaoning Province, China.
Xiao-Yu MaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Endoscopy, The Frist Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110000, Liaoning Province, China.
Shuang LaiDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Frist Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110000, Liaoning Province, China.
Xin SunDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Frist Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110000, Liaoning Province, China.
Ming-Jun SunDepartment of Gastroenterology and Endoscopy, The Frist Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110000, Liaoning Province, China.
Bing ChangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Frist Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110000, Liaoning Province, China. cb000216@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA nomogram is a diagram that aggregates various predictive factors through multivariate regression analysis, which can be used to predict patient outcomes intuitively. Lymph node (LN) metastasis and tumor deposit (TD) conditions are two critical factors that affect the prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) after surgery. At present, few effective tools have been established to predict the overall survival (OS) of CRC patients after surgery.

aimTo screen out suitable risk factors and to develop a nomogram that predicts the postoperative OS of CRC patients.

methodsData from a total of 3139 patients diagnosed with CRC who underwent surgical removal of tumors and LN resection from 2010 to 2015 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. The data were divided into a training set (

resultsThe predictive efficacy of the LODDS was better than that of the LNR based on the C-index, AIC values, and AUC values of the ROC curve. Seven independent predictive factors, namely, race, age at diagnosis, T stage, M stage, LODDS, TD condition, and serum carcinoembryonic antigen level, were included in the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram for OS prediction was 0.8002 (95%CI: 0.7839-0.8165) in the training set and 0.7864 (95%CI: 0.7604-0.8124) in the validation set. The AUC values of the ROC curve predicting the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS were 0.846, 0.841, and 0.825, respectively, in the training set and 0.823, 0.817, and 0.835, respectively, in the validation test. Great consistency between the predicted and actual observed OS for the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS in the training set and validation set was shown in the calibration curves. The final nomogram showed a better sensitivity and specificity than the nomogram with N stage alone for evaluating LN metastasis in both the training set (-4668.0

conclusionThe nomogram incorporating LODDS, TD, and other risk factors showed great predictive accuracy and better sensitivity and specificity and represents a potential tool for therapeutic decision-making.

Indexed as

Colorectal cancerLymph nodeNomogramPrognosisSurveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results programTumor deposit

Identifiers

PMID34368305
PMCPMC8316929

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