Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34366247›Full record

ReviewTrends in immunology2021

Why are there so few (or so many) circulating coronaviruses?

Benjamin L Rice, Daniel C Douek, Adrian B McDermott, Bryan T Grenfell, C Jessica E Metcalf

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Trends in immunology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Preventing Disease Emergence Following Eradication: Application to Mpox.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. How immunity from and interaction with seasonal coronaviruses can shape SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Benjamin L RiceDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA. Electronic address: b.rice@princeton.edu.
Daniel C DouekVaccine Research Center, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), National Institutes of Health (NIH), Bethesda, MD, USA.
Adrian B McDermottVaccine Research Center, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), National Institutes of Health (NIH), Bethesda, MD, USA.
Bryan T GrenfellDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA; Princeton School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
C Jessica E MetcalfDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA; Princeton School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.

Funding

Host Genomic Factors in Infectious Disease Susceptibility ZIAAI005066 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI DOUEK, DANIEL CESAR · 2009 to 2025
$17.9M
The Genome Analysis CoreZICAI005133 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI DOUEK, DANIEL CESAR · 2019 to 2025
$16.9M
T Cell Immune Responses To HIV And Other PathogensZIAAI005033 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI DOUEK, DANIEL CESAR · 2009 to 2025
$11.4M
The HIV ReservoirZIAAI005034 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI DOUEK, DANIEL CESAR · 2009 to 2025
$7.5M
Innate and Adaptive Immune Responses in SARS-CoV-2 infection (COVID-19)ZIAAI005151 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI DOUEK, DANIEL CESAR · 2020 to 2025
$6.8M
InflammationZIAAI005031 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI DOUEK, DANIEL CESAR · 2009 to 2024
$5.9M
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite vast diversity in non-human hosts and conspicuous recent spillover events, only a small number of coronaviruses have been observed to persist in human populations. This puzzling mismatch suggests substantial barriers to establishment. We detail hypotheses that might contribute to explain the low numbers of endemic coronaviruses, despite their considerable evolutionary and emergence potential. We assess possible explanations ranging from issues of ascertainment, historically lower opportunities for spillover, aspects of human demographic changes, and features of pathogen biology and pre-existing adaptive immunity to related viruses. We describe how successful emergent viral species must triangulate transmission, virulence, and host immunity to maintain circulation. Characterizing the factors that might shape the limits of viral persistence can delineate promising research directions to better understand the combinations of pathogens and contexts that are most likely to lead to spillover.

Indexed as

CoronavirusBiological EvolutionVirulenceantigenic spacecross-reactivitylandscape of immunityviral ecology

Identifiers

PMID34366247
PMCPMC8272969

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.