Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34365124›Full record

ArticleThe International journal on drug policy2021

Online surveillance of novel psychoactive substances (NPS): Monitoring Reddit discussions as a predictor of increased NPS-related exposures.

Elan Barenholtz, Alex J Krotulski, Paul Morris, Nicole D Fitzgerald, Austin Le, Donna M Papsun, Barry K Logan, William E Hahn, Bruce A Goldberger, Linda B Cottler and 1 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The International journal on drug policy, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
5.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 45 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Substance Use Epidemiology as a Foundation for Prevention.Focus (American Psychiatric Publishing) · 2024
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Investigating Substance Use via Reddit: Systematic Scoping Review.Journal of medical Internet research · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Self-reported adverse events associated with ∆Journal of cannabis research · 2023
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Interpol Review of Drug Analysis 2019-2022.Forensic science international. Synergy · 2023
    Review
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Elan BarenholtzDepartment of Psychology, Center for Complex Systems and Brain Sciences, Florida Atlantic University, 777 Glades Road, Boca Raton, FL 33431, USA.
Alex J KrotulskiCenter for Forensic Science Research and Education, Fredric Rieders Family Foundation, 2300 Stratford Ave, Willow Grove, PA 19090, USA. Electronic address: alex.krotulski@cfsre.org.
Paul MorrisDepartment of Psychology, Center for Complex Systems and Brain Sciences, Florida Atlantic University, 777 Glades Road, Boca Raton, FL 33431, USA.
Nicole D FitzgeraldDepartment of Epidemiology, College of Public Health and Health Professions, College of Medicine, University of Florida, 2004 Mowry Rd, Gainesville, FL 32603, USA.
Austin LeDepartment of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, 550 First Avenue, New York, NY 10016, USA.
Donna M PapsunToxicology Department, NMS Labs, 200 Welsh Road, Horsham, PA 19044, USA.
Barry K LoganCenter for Forensic Science Research and Education, Fredric Rieders Family Foundation, 2300 Stratford Ave, Willow Grove, PA 19090, USA; Toxicology Department, NMS Labs, 200 Welsh Road, Horsham, PA 19044, USA.
William E HahnDepartment of Psychology, Center for Complex Systems and Brain Sciences, Florida Atlantic University, 777 Glades Road, Boca Raton, FL 33431, USA.
Bruce A GoldbergerForensic Medicine Division, Department of Pathology, Immunology and Laboratory Medicine, College of Medicine, University of Florida, Box 100275, Gainesville, FL 32610, USA.
Linda B CottlerDepartment of Epidemiology, College of Public Health and Health Professions, College of Medicine, University of Florida, 2004 Mowry Rd, Gainesville, FL 32603, USA.
Joseph J PalamarDepartment of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, 550 First Avenue, New York, NY 10016, USA.
Florida Atlantic University · USFlorida College · USFredric Rieders Family Foundation · USNew York University · USUniversity of Florida · US

Funding

National Drug Early Warning System (NDEWS) COVID-19 SupplementU01DA051126 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI Linda B. Cottler, Joseph J Palamar · 2020 to 2026
$6.3M
UF Substance Abuse Training Center in Public HealthT32DA035167 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI Linda B. Cottler · 2014 to 2026
$4.8M
Drug use among nightclub and dance festival attendees in New York CityR01DA044207 · NIDA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI PALAMAR, JOSEPH J · 2018 to 2021
$1.5M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA044207NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA035167NIDA NIH HHS U01 DA051126
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNovel psychoactive substances (NPS) present continuous and growing challenges for the scientific, medical, and interventional communities as emerging substances on recreational drug markets change national and international drug landscapes. NPS account for an increasing proportion of adverse events, hospitalizations, and deaths due to increasing potency and unanticipated biological effects compared to predecessors. This study evaluated the utility of drug use forums as an early indicator or predictor of impending intoxications with potentially harmful or lethal outcomes prior to their occurrences.

methodsEight NPS were selected for evaluation to assess the relationship between online mentions of drugs and their involvement in toxic exposures or overdoses. Mentions on Reddit drug forum discussions were tallied and toxicology testing results from forensic investigations in the US were assessed. The selected NPS covered several subclasses and a predetermined time range (2013-2020). They included carfentanil, U-47700, eutylone, flualprazolam, N-ethylpentylone, 5F-MDMB-PICA, isotonitazene, and brorphine.

resultsSeven NPS (excluding 5F-MDMB-PICA) appeared in discussions on Reddit prior to their implication in poisonings or intoxications. Distinct increases and decreases in number of mentions and number of exposures were observed. For most substances (n = 5, 63%), a rise in Reddit mentions was soon followed by a corresponding rise in toxicology positivity. Peak positivity for carfentanil and flualprazolam, however, preceded peak Reddit mentions.

conclusionsThis study demonstrated the utility of social media sites, such as Reddit, as a predictor for future trends in NPS-related exposures. These results provide confirmation that activity on drug use forums in the virtual world can help predict changes in exposures associated with new or re-emerging NPS in the real world. The results warrant further evaluation as a strategy for inclusion in early warning systems.

Indexed as

Illicit DrugsSubstance-Related DisordersHumansImidazolesPiperidinesPsychotropic DrugsbrorphineIllicit DrugsImidazolesPiperidinesPsychotropic DrugsDrug exposuresMonitoringNovel psychoactive substancesRedditSurveillanceToxicology

Identifiers

PMID34365124
PMCPMC8671170
OpenAlexW3187209268

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.