ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2021
The Global Interest in Vaccines and Its Prediction and Perspectives in the Era of COVID-19. Real-Time Surveillance Using Google Trends.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.
- Google Trends for the Human Papillomavirus Vaccine in India From 2010 to 2024: Infodemiological Study.Journal of medical Internet research · 2025Article
- Opportunities and challenges encountered in managing cervical cancer during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.Infectious agents and cancer · 2024Review
- Temporal trends in online searches related to COVID-19 vaccine safety: A digital infodemiology study.Health promotion perspectives · 2024Article
- HPV vaccine narratives on Twitter during the COVID-19 pandemic: a social network, thematic, and sentiment analysis.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Forecasting the COVID-19 vaccine uptake rate: an infodemiological study in the US.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2022Article
- Effects of Social Vulnerability and Spatial Accessibility on COVID-19 Vaccination Coverage: A Census-Tract Level Study in Milwaukee County, USA.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- COVID-19 Infodemiology: Association Between Google Search and Vaccination in Malaysian Population.Cureus · 2022Article
- Google Trends on Human Papillomavirus Vaccine Searches in the United States From 2010 to 2021: Infodemiology Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2022Article
- Global online interest in cervical cancer care in the time of COVID-19: An infodemiology study.Gynecologic oncology reports · 2022Article
- Cervical Cancer Prevention in the Era of the COVID-19 Pandemic.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2022Article
- Mathematical Modeling to Predict COVID-19 Infection and Vaccination Trends.Journal of clinical medicine · 2022Article
- Spatiotemporal evolution of online attention to vaccines since 2011: An empirical study in China.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Mental Health Interest and Its Prediction during the COVID-19 Pandemic Using Google Trends.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
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Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has globally overwhelmed all sectors of life. The fast development of vaccines against COVID-19 has had a significant impact on the course of the pandemic.
methodsGlobal data from Google Trends was analyzed for vaccines against flu, BCG, HPV, pneumococcal disease, polio, and COVID-19. The time frame includes the last five-year period starting from 17 April 2016. Multiple training of time series models with back testing, including Holt-Winters forecasting, Exponential Smoothing State Space, Linear model with trend and seasonal components (tlsm), and ARIMA was conducted. Forecasting according to the best fitting model was performed.
resultsCorrelation analysis did not reveal a decrease in interest in vaccines during the analyzed period. The prediction models provided a short-term forecast of the dynamics of interest for flu, HPV, pneumococcal and polio vaccines with 5-10% growth in interest for the first quarter of 2022 when compared to the same quarter of 2021.
conclusionsDespite the huge interest in the COVID-19 vaccine, there has not been a detectable decline in the overall interest in the five analyzed vaccines.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.