ArticleVaccines2021
COVID-19 Pandemic Development in Jordan-Short-Term and Long-Term Forecasting.
Article in Vaccines, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Immunologic responses to the third and fourth doses of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccines in cell therapy recipients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Virology journal · 2024Pooled it
- Psychological distress and resilience among Jordanian nurses in critical care units following the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic: a cross-sectional study.BMC nursing · 2025Article
- Acceptance of COVID-19 vaccine booster dose among the people of Bangladesh: A cross-sectional study.Heliyon · 2023Article
- COVID-19 Vaccination Booster Dose: Knowledge, Practices, and Intention among Pregnant/Planning to Get Pregnant and Lactating Women.Vaccines · 2023Article
- Predicting infection with COVID-19 disease using logistic regression model in Karak City, Jordan.F1000Research · 2023Article
- Parents' attitudes, knowledge and practice towards vaccinating their children against COVID-19: a cross-sectional study.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2022Article
- Generating High-Granularity COVID-19 Territorial Early Alerts Using Emergency Medical Services and Machine Learning.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Short-Term and Long-Term COVID-19 Pandemic Forecasting Revisited with the Emergence of OMICRON Variant in Jordan.Vaccines · 2022Article
- Willingness of the Jordanian Population to Receive a COVID-19 Booster Dose: A Cross-Sectional Study.Vaccines · 2022Article
- Community pharmacists' willingness and barriers to provide vaccination during COVID-19 pandemic in Jordan.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2022Article
- Knowledge, Attitudes, and Practices of Adult Iraqi Population Towards COVID-19 Booster Dose: A Cross-Sectional Study.Patient preference and adherence · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In this study, we proposed three simple approaches to forecast COVID-19 reported cases in a Middle Eastern society (Jordan). The first approach was a short-term forecast (STF) model based on a linear forecast model using the previous days as a learning data-base for forecasting. The second approach was a long-term forecast (LTF) model based on a mathematical formula that best described the current pandemic situation in Jordan. Both approaches can be seen as complementary: the STF can cope with sudden daily changes in the pandemic whereas the LTF can be utilized to predict the upcoming waves' occurrence and strength. As such, the third approach was a hybrid forecast (HF) model merging both the STF and the LTF models. The HF was shown to be an efficient forecast model with excellent accuracy. It is evident that the decision to enforce the curfew at an early stage followed by the planned lockdown has been effective in eliminating a serious wave in April 2020. Vaccination has been effective in combating COVID-19 by reducing infection rates. Based on the forecasting results, there is some possibility that Jordan may face a third wave of the pandemic during the Summer of 2021.
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Registered trials
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