Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34357933›Full record

ArticleSports (Basel, Switzerland)2021

How Relative Age Effects Associate with Football Players' Market Values: Indicators of Losing Talent and Wasting Money.

Michael Romann, Marie Javet, Stephen Cobley, Dennis-Peter Born

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Sports (Basel, Switzerland), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Positional relative age effect in europe's top ten football leagues.BMC sports science, medicine & rehabilitation · 2025
    Article
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  4. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Michael RomannDepartment for Elite Sport, Swiss Federal Institute of Sport Magglingen, 2532 Magglingen, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-4139-2955
Marie JavetDepartment for Elite Sport, Swiss Federal Institute of Sport Magglingen, 2532 Magglingen, Switzerland.
Stephen CobleyFaculty of Health Science, University of Sydney, Lidcombe, NSW 2141, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-6099-392X
Dennis-Peter BornDepartment for Elite Sport, Swiss Federal Institute of Sport Magglingen, 2532 Magglingen, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-1058-4367

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn football, annual age-group categorization leads to relative age effects (RAEs) in talent development. Given such trends, relative age may also associate with market values. This study analyzed the relationship between RAEs and market values of youth players.

methodsAge category, birthdate, and market values of 11,738 youth male football players were obtained from the "transfermarkt.de" database, which delivers a good proxy for real market values. RAEs were calculated using odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI).

resultsSignificant RAEs were found across all age-groups (

conclusionsAssuming an equal distribution of football talent exists across annual cohorts, results indicate the selection and market value of young professional players is dynamic. Findings suggest a potential biased selection, and undervaluing of Q4 players in younger age groups, as their representation and market value increased over time. By contrast, the changing representations and market values of Q1 players suggest initial overvaluing in performance and monetary terms. Therefore, this inefficient talent selection and the accompanying waste of money should be improved.

Indexed as

draftsmarket valuereturn of investmenttalent developmenttalent selection

Identifiers

PMID34357933
PMCPMC8309691

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.