Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34350010›Full record

ArticleRoyal Society open science2021

On the impact of publicly available news and information transfer to financial markets.

Metod Jazbec, Barna Pàsztor, Felix Faltings, Nino Antulov-Fantulin, Petter N Kolm

Abstract readNews
In one paragraph

Article in Royal Society open science, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Metod JazbecDepartment of Computer Science, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland.
Barna PàsztorDepartment of Computer Science, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland.
Felix FaltingsDepartment of Computer Science, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland.
Nino Antulov-FantulinComputational Social Science, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-4337-2475
Petter N KolmCourant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University, New York, NY 10012, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We quantify the propagation and absorption of large-scale publicly available news articles from the World Wide Web to financial markets. To extract publicly available information, we use the news archives from the Common Crawl, a non-profit organization that crawls a large part of the web. We develop a processing pipeline to identify news articles associated with the constituent companies in the S&P 500 index, an equity market index that measures the stock performance of US companies. Using machine learning techniques, we extract sentiment scores from the Common Crawl News data and employ tools from information theory to quantify the information transfer from public news articles to the US stock market. Furthermore, we analyse and quantify the economic significance of the news-based information with a simple sentiment-based portfolio trading strategy. Our findings provide support for that information in publicly available news on the World Wide Web has a statistically and economically significant impact on events in financial markets.

Indexed as

complex systemsfinancial marketsmachine learningsentiment analysistransfer entropy

Identifiers

PMID34350010
PMCPMC8316821

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.