Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34343457›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2021

Triple contagion: a two-fears epidemic model.

Joshua M Epstein, Erez Hatna, Jennifer Crodelle

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
4.4field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 60 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  4. Chaos in Opinion-Driven Disease Dynamics.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024
    Article
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  14. Misinformation can prevent the suppression of epidemics.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2022
    Article
  15. Risk Perception Influence on Vaccination Program on COVID-19 in Chile: A Mathematical Model.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  16. Describing a landscape we are yet discovering.Advances in statistical analysis : AStA : a journal of the German Statistical Society · 2022
    Review
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Joshua M EpsteinDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Global Public Health, New York University, New York, NY, USA.
Erez HatnaDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Global Public Health, New York University, New York, NY, USA.
Jennifer CrodelleDepartment of Mathematics, Middlebury College, Middlebury, VT, USA.
New York University · USMiddlebury College · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We present a differential equations model in which contagious disease transmission is affected by contagious fear of the disease and contagious fear of the control, in this case vaccine. The three contagions are coupled. The two fears evolve and interact in ways that shape distancing behaviour, vaccine uptake, and their relaxation. These behavioural dynamics in turn can amplify or suppress disease transmission, which feeds back to affect behaviour. The model reveals several coupled contagion mechanisms for multiple epidemic waves. Methodologically, the paper advances infectious disease modelling by including human behavioural adaptation, drawing on the neuroscience of fear learning, extinction and transmission.

Indexed as

Communicable DiseasesEpidemicsFearHumansbehaviourdynamical systemsepidemic modellingneuroscience

Identifiers

PMID34343457
PMCPMC8331242
OpenAlexW3189189861

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.