Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34342929›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2021

The call of the emperor penguin: Legal responses to species threatened by climate change.

Stephanie Jenouvrier, Judy Che-Castaldo, Shaye Wolf, Marika Holland, Sara Labrousse, Michelle LaRue, Barbara Wienecke, Peter Fretwell, Christophe Barbraud, Noah Greenwald and 2 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
15.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 61 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 11 institutions in 6 countries.

Stephanie JenouvrierBiology Department, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3324-2383
Judy Che-CastaldoConservation & Science Department, Alexander Center for Applied Population Biology, Lincoln Park Zoo, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Shaye WolfClimate Law Institute, Center for Biological Diversity, Oakland, California, USA.
Marika HollandNational Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA.
Sara LabrousseSorbonne Universités, UPMC Univ., Paris, France.
Michelle LaRueSchool of Earth and Environment, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand.
Barbara WieneckeAustralian Antarctic Division, Kingston, Tasmania, Australia.
Peter FretwellBritish Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, UK.
Christophe BarbraudCentre d'Etudes Biologiques de Chizé, CNRS UMR7372, Villiers en Bois, France.
Noah GreenwaldEndangered Species Program, Center for Biological Diversity, Portland, Oregon, USA.
Julienne StroeveCentre for Earth Observation Science, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Philip N TrathanBritish Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6673-9930
British Antarctic Survey · GBAustralian Antarctic Division · AUCentre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FRCooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences · USEnvironmental Law Institute · USLincoln Park Zoo · USNSF National Center for Atmospheric Research · USOffice of Diversity and Inclusion · USSorbonne Université · FRUniversity of Minnesota · USWoods Hole Oceanographic Institution · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Species extinction risk is accelerating due to anthropogenic climate change, making it urgent to protect vulnerable species through legal frameworks in order to facilitate conservation actions that help mitigate risk. Here, we discuss fundamental concepts for assessing climate change risks to species using the example of the emperor penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri), currently being considered for protection under the US Endangered Species Act (ESA). This species forms colonies on Antarctic sea ice, which is projected to significantly decline due to ongoing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. We project the dynamics of all known emperor penguin colonies under different GHG emission scenarios using a climate-dependent meta-population model including the effects of extreme climate events based on the observational satellite record of colonies. Assessments for listing species under the ESA require information about how species resiliency, redundancy and representation (3Rs) will be affected by threats within the foreseeable future. Our results show that if sea ice declines at the rate projected by climate models under current energy system trends and policies, the 3Rs would be dramatically reduced and almost all colonies would become quasi-extinct by 2100. We conclude that the species should be listed as threatened under the ESA.

Indexed as

SpheniscidaeAnimalsAntarctic RegionsClimate ChangeExtinction, BiologicalIce Coverclimate risk assessmentsEndangered Species Actforeseeable futurepopulation projectionsresiliency, redundancy and representation (3Rs)sea ice projectionsspecies distributiontreatment of scientific uncertainty

Identifiers

PMID34342929
PMCPMC9291047
OpenAlexW3192157679

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.