Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34327438›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2021

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on health services utilization in China: Time-series analyses for 2016-2020.

Hong Xiao, Xiaochen Dai, Bradley H Wagenaar, Fang Liu, Orvalho Augusto, Yan Guo, Joseph M Unger

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 115 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
115citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

115 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Routine Health Information Systems in the European Context: A Systematic Review of Systematic Reviews.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
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55 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Hong XiaoPublic Health Sciences Division, Fred Hutchison Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, United States.
Xiaochen DaiDepartment of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.
Bradley H WagenaarDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.
Fang LiuChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Orvalho AugustoInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.
Yan GuoDepartment of Global Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.
Joseph M UngerPublic Health Sciences Division, Fred Hutchison Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, United States.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe aim of this study is to quantify the effects of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on health services utilization in China using over four years of routine health information system data.

methodsWe conducted a retrospective observational cohort study of health services utilization from health facilities at all levels in all provinces of mainland China. We analyzed monthly all-cause health facility visits and inpatient volume in health facilities before and during the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak using nationwide routine health information system data from January 2016 to June 2020. We used interrupted time series analyses and segmented negative binomial regression to examine changes in healthcare utilization attributable to the pandemic. Stratified analyses by facility type and by provincial Human Development Index (HDI) - an area-level measure of socioeconomic status - were conducted to assess potential heterogeneity in effects.

findingsIn the months before the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak, a positive secular trend in patterns of healthcare utilization was observed. After the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak, we noted statistically significant decreases in all indicators, with all indicators achieving their nadir in February 2020. The magnitude of decline in February ranged from 63% (95% CI 61-65%;

interpretationInpatient and outpatient health services utilization in China declined significantly after the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak, likely due to changes in patient and provider behaviors, suspension of health facilities or their non-emergency services, massive mobility restrictions, and the potential reduction in the risk of non-SARS-COV-2 diseases. All indicators rebounded beginning in March but most had not recovered to their pre-SARS-COV-2 levels as of June 2020.

fundingThe National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 72042014).

Identifiers

PMID34327438
PMCPMC8315657

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.