Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34326411›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2021

The impact of climate change in wheat and barley yields in the Iberian Peninsula.

Virgílio A Bento, Andreia F S Ribeiro, Ana Russo, Célia M Gouveia, Rita M Cardoso, Pedro M M Soares

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
17.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 68 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Virgílio A BentoInstituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016, Lisbon, Portugal. vabento@fc.ul.pt.
Andreia F S RibeiroInstituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016, Lisbon, Portugal.
Ana RussoInstituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016, Lisbon, Portugal.
Célia M GouveiaInstituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016, Lisbon, Portugal.
Rita M CardosoInstituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016, Lisbon, Portugal.
Pedro M M SoaresInstituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016, Lisbon, Portugal.
University of Lisbon · PTPortuguese Sea and Atmosphere Institute · PT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The impact of climate change on wheat and barley yields in two regions of the Iberian Peninsula is here examined. Regression models are developed by using EURO-CORDEX regional climate model (RCM) simulations, forced by ERA-Interim, with monthly maximum and minimum air temperatures and monthly accumulated precipitation as predictors. Additionally, RCM simulations forced by different global climate models for the historical period (1972-2000) and mid-of-century (2042-2070; under the two emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) are analysed. Results point to different regional responses of wheat and barley. In the southernmost regions, results indicate that the main yield driver is spring maximum temperature, while further north a larger dependence on spring precipitation and early winter maximum temperature is observed. Climate change seems to induce severe yield losses in the southern region, mainly due to an increase in spring maximum temperature. On the contrary, a yield increase is projected in the northern regions, with the main driver being early winter warming that stimulates earlier growth. These results warn on the need to implement sustainable agriculture policies, and on the necessity of regional adaptation strategies.

Identifiers

PMID34326411
PMCPMC8322258
OpenAlexW3183789722

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.