Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34326055›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2021

Psychological factors for the onset of depression: a meta-analysis of prospective studies.

Zhongfang Fu, Marlies Brouwer, Mitzy Kennis, Alishia Williams, Pim Cuijpers, Claudi Bockting

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Zhongfang FuDepartment of Psychiatry, Amsterdam UMC, Location AMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Marlies BrouwerDepartment of Psychiatry, Amsterdam UMC, Location AMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-9972-9058
Mitzy KennisARQ National Psychotrauma Centre, ARQ centre of Expertise for the Impact of Disasters and Crises, Diemen, The Netherlands.
Alishia WilliamsDepartment of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Pim CuijpersDepartment of Clinical Psychology, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-5497-2743
Claudi BocktingDepartment of Psychiatry, Amsterdam UMC, Location AMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands c.l.bockting@amsterdamumc.nl.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesA comprehensive overview of the evidence for factors derived from leading psychological theories of the onset of major depressive disorder (MDD) that underpin psychological interventions is scarce . We aimed to systematically investigate the prospective evidence for factors derived from the behavioural, cognitive, diathesis-stress, psychodynamic and personality-based theories for the first onset of MDD.

designSystematic review and meta-analysis.

methodsDatabases PubMed, PsycINFO, Cochrane and Embase and published articles were systematically searched from inception up to August 2019. Prospective, longitudinal studies that investigated theory-derived factors before the first onset of MDD, established by a clinical interview, were included. Screening, selection and data extraction of articles were conducted by two screeners. The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation criteria were used to estimate level of confidence and risk of bias. Meta-analysis was conducted using random-effects models and mixed-method subgroup analyses. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Effect size of a factor predicting the onset of MDD (OR, risk ratio or HR).

resultsFrom 42 133 original records published to August 2019, 26 studies met the inclusion criteria. Data were only available for the cognitive (n=6585) and personality-based (n=14 394) theories. Factors derived from cognitive theories and personality-based theories were related to increased odds of MDD onset (pooled OR=2.12, 95% CI: 1.12 to 4.00; pooled OR=2.43, 95% CI: 1.41 to 4.19). Publication bias and considerable heterogeneity were observed.

conclusionThere is some evidence that factors derived from cognitive and personality-based theories indeed predict the onset of MDD (ie, dysfunctional attitudes and negative emotionality). There were no studies that prospectively studied factors derived from psychodynamic theories and not enough studies to examine the robust evidence for behavioural and diathesis-stress theories. Overall, the prospective evidence for psychological factors of MDD is limited, and more research on the leading psychological theories is needed. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42017073975.

Indexed as

Major Depressive DisorderDepressionHumansProspective StudiesPsychological Theorydepression & mood disordersepidemiologypsychiatrystatistics & research methods

Identifiers

PMID34326055
PMCPMC8323350

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.