Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34323959›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2022

Trends, Mechanisms, and Racial/Ethnic Differences of Tuberculosis Incidence in the US-Born Population Aged 50 Years or Older in the United States.

Sun Kim, Ted Cohen, C Robert Horsburgh, Jeffrey W Miller, Andrew N Hill, Suzanne M Marks, Rongxia Li, J Steve Kammerer, Joshua A Salomon, Nicolas A Menzies

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

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  14. A narrative review of tuberculosis in the United States among persons aged 65 years and older.Journal of clinical tuberculosis and other mycobacterial diseases · 2022
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Sun KimDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2466-2442
Ted CohenDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health , New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
C Robert HorsburghDepartment of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Jeffrey W MillerDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Andrew N HillDivision of Tuberculosis Elimination, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Suzanne M MarksDivision of Tuberculosis Elimination, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Rongxia LiDivision of Tuberculosis Elimination, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
J Steve KammererDivision of Tuberculosis Elimination, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Joshua A SalomonDepartment of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA.
Nicolas A MenziesDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USHarvard Global Health Institute · USBoston University · USHarvard University · USStanford University · USYale University · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Economic Modeling for HIV, Viral Hepatitis, STD, TB and School HealthU38PS004644 · PS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI SALOMON, JOSHUA A · 2014 to 2015
$2.9M
Optimal targeting for individual and population-level TB preventionR01AI146555 · NIAID · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI MENZIES, NICOLAS A · 2020 to 2024
$2.5M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NCHHSTP CDC HHS U38 PS004644NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI146555
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOlder age is a risk factor for tuberculosis (TB) in low incidence settings. Using data from the US National TB Surveillance System and American Community Survey, we estimated trends and racial/ethnic differences in TB incidence among US-born cohorts aged ≥50 years.

methodsIn total, 42 000 TB cases among US-born persons ≥50 years were reported during 2001-2019. We used generalized additive regression models to decompose the effects of birth cohort and age on TB incidence rates, stratified by sex and race/ethnicity. Using genotype-based estimates of recent transmission (available 2011-2019), we implemented additional models to decompose incidence trends by estimated recent versus remote infection.

resultsEstimated incidence rates declined with age, for the overall cohort and most sex and race/ethnicity strata. Average annual percentage declines flattened for older individuals, from 8.80% (95% confidence interval [CI] 8.34-9.23) in 51-year-olds to 4.51% (95% CI 3.87-5.14) in 90-year-olds. Controlling for age, incidence rates were lower for more recent birth cohorts, dropping 8.79% (95% CI 6.13-11.26) on average between successive cohort years. Incidence rates were substantially higher for racial/ethnic minorities, and these inequalities persisted across all birth cohorts. Rates from recent infection declined at approximately 10% per year as individuals aged. Rates from remote infection declined more slowly with age, and this annual percentage decline approached zero for the oldest individuals.

conclusionsTB rates were highest for racial/ethnic minorities and for the earliest birth cohorts and declined with age. For the oldest individuals, annual percentage declines were low, and most cases were attributed to remote infection.

Indexed as

TuberculosisChildCohort StudiesEthnicityHumansIncidencePopulation SurveillanceUnited Statesage groupsdisease progressionhealth status disparitieslatent tuberculosisrace factors

Identifiers

PMID34323959
PMCPMC8799750
OpenAlexW3184089209

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.