Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34322601›Full record

ReviewHealth science reports2021

A systematic review of risk stratification tools internationally used in primary care settings.

Shelley-Ann M Girwar, Robert Jabroer, Marta Fiocco, Stephen P Sutch, Mattijs E Numans, Marc A Bruijnzeels

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Health science reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07136168 (Healthy Ageing - an Interdisciplinary Randomised Study of Health Dialogues in Primary Care), which is not on this map. Cited by 33 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
6.2field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07136168 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Healthy Ageing - an Interdisciplinary Randomised Study of Health Dialogues in Primary Care

TypeinterventionalSponsorLinkoeping UniversityRan2025 to 2031Enrolled2,952ConditionsFrailty, Ageing Well, Prevention Intervention, Health Related Quality of LifeArmsHealth dialogue
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A scoping review of clinicalFrontiers in medicine · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Shelley-Ann M GirwarDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, LUMC Campus the Hague Leiden University Medical Centre The Hague The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9104-9624
Robert JabroerDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, LUMC Campus the Hague Leiden University Medical Centre The Hague The Netherlands.
Marta FioccoMathematical Institute Leiden University Leiden The Netherlands.
Stephen P SutchDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, LUMC Campus the Hague Leiden University Medical Centre The Hague The Netherlands.
Mattijs E NumansDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, LUMC Campus the Hague Leiden University Medical Centre The Hague The Netherlands.
Marc A BruijnzeelsDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, LUMC Campus the Hague Leiden University Medical Centre The Hague The Netherlands.
Leiden University · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsIn our current healthcare situation, burden on healthcare services is increasing, with higher costs and increased utilization. Structured population health management has been developed as an approach to balance quality with increasing costs. This approach identifies sub-populations with comparable health risks, to tailor interventions for those that will benefit the most. Worldwide, the use of routine healthcare data extracted from electronic health registries for risk stratification approaches is increasing. Different risk stratification tools are used on different levels of the healthcare continuum. In this systematic literature review, we aimed to explore which tools are used in primary healthcare settings and assess their performance.

methodsWe performed a systematic literature review of studies applying risk stratification tools with health outcomes in primary care populations. Studies in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries published in English-language journals were included. Search engines were utilized with keywords, for example, "primary care," "risk stratification," and "model." Risk stratification tools were compared based on different measures: area under the curve (AUC) and C-statistics for dichotomous outcomes and

resultsThe search provided 4718 articles. Specific election criteria such as primary care populations, generic health utilization outcomes, and routinely collected data sources identified 61 articles, reporting on 31 different models. The three most frequently applied models were the Adjusted Clinical Groups (ACG, n = 23), the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI, n = 19), and the Hierarchical Condition Categories (HCC, n = 7). Most AUC and C-statistic values were above 0.7, with ACG showing slightly improved scores compared with the CCI and HCC (typically between 0.6 and 0.7).

conclusionBased on statistical performance, the validity of the ACG was the highest, followed by the CCI and the HCC. The ACG also appeared to be the most flexible, with the use of different international coding systems and measuring a wider variety of health outcomes.

Indexed as

population health managementprimary healthcarerisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID34322601
PMCPMC8299990
OpenAlexW3185998061

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.