Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34320273›Full record

ArticleTransboundary and emerging diseases2022

Discovering dynamic models of COVID-19 transmission.

Jinwen Liang, Xueliang Zhang, Kai Wang, Manlai Tang, Maozai Tian

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Transboundary and emerging diseases, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Discovering dynamic models of COVID-19 transmission.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2022
    Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jinwen LiangCenter for Applied Statistics, School of Statistics, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China.
Xueliang ZhangDepartment of Medical Engineering and Technology, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China.
Kai WangDepartment of Medical Engineering and Technology, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China.
Manlai TangDepartment of Mathematics, College of Engineering, Design & Physical Sciences, Brunel University, London, UK.
Maozai TianCenter for Applied Statistics, School of Statistics, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0515-4477

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Existing models about the dynamics of COVID-19 transmission often assume the mechanism of virus transmission and the form of the differential equations. These assumptions are hard to verify. Due to the biases of country-level data, it is inaccurate to construct the global dynamic of COVID-19. This research aims to provide a robust data-driven global model of the transmission dynamics. We apply sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) to model the dynamics of COVID-19 global transmission. One advantage is that we can discover the nonlinear dynamics from data without assumptions in the form of the governing equations. To overcome the problem of biased country-level data on the number of reported cases, we propose a robust global model of the dynamics by using maximin aggregation. Real data analysis shows the efficiency of our model.

Indexed as

COVID-19AnimalsCOVID-19global transmissionmaximin aggregationsparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy)

Identifiers

PMID34320273
PMCPMC8447335

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.