Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34318286›Full record

ArticleMed (New York, N.Y.)2021

A blood-based prognostic liver secretome signature and long-term hepatocellular carcinoma risk in advanced liver fibrosis.

Naoto Fujiwara, Masahiro Kobayashi, Austin J Fobar, Ayaka Hoshida, Cesia A Marquez, Bhuvaneswari Koneru, Gayatri Panda, Masataka Taguri, Tongqi Qian, Indu Raman and 15 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Med (New York, N.Y.), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 47 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
47citing papers in PubMed
6.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

47 citing papers in PubMed, 56 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Financial Burden of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Screening in Patients With Cirrhosis.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2024
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  3. Validation of Risk Models for Predicting Post-SVR HCC in Real-World Surveillance Across Global Geographic Regions.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

Naoto FujiwaraDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Masahiro KobayashiDepartment of Hepatology, Toranomon Hospital, Tokyo, 105-8470, Japan.
Austin J FobarDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109, U.S.
Ayaka HoshidaDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Cesia A MarquezDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Bhuvaneswari KoneruDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Gayatri PandaDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Masataka TaguriDepartment of Data Science, School of Data Science, Yokohama City University, Kanagawa, 236-0027, Japan.
Tongqi QianDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Indu RamanMicroarray Core Facility, Department of Immunology, BioCenter, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Quan-Zhen LiMicroarray Core Facility, Department of Immunology, BioCenter, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Hiroki HoshidaDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Hitomi SezakiDepartment of Hepatology, Toranomon Hospital, Tokyo, 105-8470, Japan.
Hiromitsu KumadaDepartment of Hepatology, Toranomon Hospital, Tokyo, 105-8470, Japan.
Ryosuke TateishiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Takeshi YokooDepartment of Radiology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Adam C YoppDivision of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Raymond T ChungGastrointestinal Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 02114, U.S.
Bryan C FuchsDivision of Surgical Oncology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 02114, U.S.
Thomas F BaumertInserm, U1110, Institut de Recherche sur les Maladies Virales et Hépatiques, University of Strasbourg and IHU, Pole Hépato-digestif, Strasbourg University Hospitals, Strasbourg, 67200, France.
Jorge A MarreroDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Neehar D ParikhDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109, U.S.
Shijia ZhuDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Amit G SingalDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
Yujin HoshidaDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, 75390, U.S.
The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center · USToranomon Hospital · JPHarvard University · USThe University of Tokyo · JPUniversity of Michigan · USInserm · FRYokohama City University · JP

Funding

Precision Risk Stratification and Screening for HCC among Patients with Cirrhosis in the United StatesU01CA230694 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SINGAL, AMIT · 2018 to 2022
$3.5M
Reverse-engineering precision liver cancer chemopreventionR01CA233794 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI HOSHIDA, YUJIN · 2019 to 2023
$3.5M
NOVEL STRATEGIES TO IMPROVE LIVER CANCER SURVEILLANCE UPTAKE AND EARLY DETECTIONU01CA230669 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI LOK, ANNA S.F., SU, GRACE L. · 2018 to 2022
$3.3M
Glycopathology of HCC: identification of the source cells of serum fucosylationU01CA226052 · NCI · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI DRAKE, RICHARD R., HOSHIDA, YUJIN · 2019 to 2023
$2.8M
Molecular Prognostic Indicators in Liver Cirrhosis and CancerR01DK099558 · NIDDK · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI HOSHIDA, YUJIN · 2013 to 2016
$2.6M
Translation of a biomarker panel for the early detection of hepatocellular carcinomaR01CA237659 · NCI · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI MARRERO, JORGE A, MEHTA, ANAND S. · 2019 to 2023
$2.5M
Precision Screening for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with CirrhosisR01CA222900 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SINGAL, AMIT · 2018 to 2023
$2.4M
European Research Council 671231NCI NIH HHS R01 CA222900NCI NIH HHS R01 CA233794NCI NIH HHS R01 CA237659NCI NIH HHS U01 CA226052NCI NIH HHS U01 CA230669NCI NIH HHS U01 CA230694NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK099558
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate non-invasive prediction of long-term hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in advanced liver fibrosis is urgently needed for cost-effective HCC screening; however, this currently remains an unmet need.

methodsA serum-protein-based prognostic liver secretome signature (PLSec) was bioinformatically derived from previously validated hepatic transcriptome signatures and optimized in 79 patients with advanced liver fibrosis. We independently validated PLSec for HCC risk in 331 cirrhosis patients with mixed etiologies (validation set 1 [V1]) and thereafter developed a score with clinical prognostic variables. The score was then validated in two independent cohorts: validation set 2 (V2): 164 patients with advanced liver fibrosis due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection cured after direct-acting antiviral therapy; validation set 3 (V3): 146 patients with advanced liver fibrosis with successfully-treated HCC and cured HCV infection.

findingsAn 8-protein blood-based PLSec recapitulated transcriptome-based hepatic HCC risk status. In V1, PLSec was significantly associated with incident HCC risk (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.35; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-4.23). A composite score with serum alpha-fetoprotein (PLSec-AFP) was defined in V1, and validated in V2 (adjusted odds ratio, 3.80 [95%CI, 1.66-8.66]) and V3 (aHR, 3.08 [95%CI, 1.78-5.31]; c-index, 0.74). PLSec-AFP outperformed AFP alone (Brier score, 0.165 vs. 0.186 in V2; 0.196 vs. 0.206 in V3, respectively).

conclusionsThe blood-based PLSec-AFP can accurately stratify patients with advanced liver fibrosis for long-term HCC risk and thereby guide risk-based tailored HCC screening.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularHepatitis CHepatitis C, ChronicLiver Neoplasmsalpha-FetoproteinsAntiviral AgentsHepacivirusHumansLiver CirrhosisPrognosisSecretomealpha-FetoproteinsAntiviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID34318286
PMCPMC8312635
OpenAlexW3159551911

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.