Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34308306›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2021

The BCD Triage Sieve outperforms all existing major incident triage tools: Comparative analysis using the UK national trauma registry population.

Nabeela S Malik, Saisakul Chernbumroong, Yuanwei Xu, James Vassallo, Justine Lee, Douglas M Bowley, Timothy Hodgetts, Christopher G Moran, Janet M Lord, Antonio Belli and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Management of mass casualty incidents: a systematic review and clinical practice guideline update.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2025
    Guideline
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. The Field's mass shooting: emergency medical services response.Scandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Nabeela S MalikNIHR Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiological Research Centre (SRMRC), Heritage Building, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Mindelsohn Way, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK.
Saisakul ChernbumroongNIHR Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiological Research Centre (SRMRC), Heritage Building, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Mindelsohn Way, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK.
Yuanwei XuInstitute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK.
James VassalloAcademic Department of Military Emergency Medicine, Royal Centre for Defence Medicine, Mindelsohn Way, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2WB, UK.
Justine LeeInstitute of Inflammation and Ageing, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK.
Douglas M BowleyInstitute of Inflammation and Ageing, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK.
Timothy HodgettsArmy Health, Army Headquarters, Monxton Road, Andover SP11 8HT, UK.
Christopher G MoranNHS England London, Skipton House, 80 London Road, London SE1 6LH, UK.
Janet M LordNIHR Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiological Research Centre (SRMRC), Heritage Building, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Mindelsohn Way, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK.
Antonio BelliNIHR Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiological Research Centre (SRMRC), Heritage Building, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Mindelsohn Way, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK.
Damian KeeneAcademic Department of Military Surgery & Trauma, Royal Centre for Defence Medicine, Mindelsohn Way, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2WB, UK.
Mark FosterNIHR Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiological Research Centre (SRMRC), Heritage Building, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Mindelsohn Way, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK.
Georgios V GkoutosNIHR Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiological Research Centre (SRMRC), Heritage Building, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Mindelsohn Way, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/K00414X/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNatural disasters, conflict, and terrorism are major global causes of death and disability. Central to the healthcare response is triage, vital to ensure the right care is provided to the right patient at the right time. The ideal triage tool has high sensitivity for the highest priority (P1) patients with acceptably low over-triage. This study compared the performance of major incident triage tools in predicting P1 casualty status in adults in the prospective UK Trauma Audit and Research Network (TARN) registry.

methodsTARN patients aged 16+ years (January 2008-December 2017) were included. Ten existing triage tools were applied using patients' first recorded pre-hospital physiology. Patients were subsequently assigned triage categories (P1, P2, P3, Expectant or Dead) based on pre-defined, intervention-based criteria. Tool performance was assessed by comparing tool-predicted and intervention-based priority status.

findings195,709 patients were included; mortality was 7·0% (n=13,601); median Injury Severity Score (ISS) was 9 (IQR 9-17); 97·1% sustained blunt injuries. 22,144 (11·3%) patients fulfilled intervention-based criteria for P1 status, exhibiting higher mortality (12·8%

interpretationThe BCD Triage Sieve performed best in this nationally representative population; we recommend it supersede the NARU Triage Sieve as the UK primary major incident triage tool. Validated triage category definitions are recommended for appraising future major incidents.

fundingThis study is funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiology Research Centre. GVG also acknowledges support from the MRC Heath Data Research UK (HDRUK/CFC/01). The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NIHR, the Department of Health and Social Care, or the Ministry of Defence.

Indexed as

BCD Triage SieveCareflightDisasterInjury Severity ScoreJumpSTARTLife-saving interventionMajor incidentMajor traumaMass casualtyMilitary medicineMIMMSMPTT-24MSTARTPrehospital medicineRAMPSTARTTriage

Identifiers

PMID34308306
PMCPMC8257989

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.