Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34305482›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the ... International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems : AAMAS. International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems2018

Behavior Model Calibration for Epidemic Simulations.

Meghendra Singh, Achla Marathe, Madhav V Marathe, Samarth Swarup

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the ... International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems : AAMAS. International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Meghendra SinghNetwork Dynamics and Simulation Science Lab, Biocomplexity Institute of Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA.
Achla MaratheNetwork Dynamics and Simulation Science Lab, Biocomplexity Institute of Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA.
Madhav V MaratheNetwork Dynamics and Simulation Science Lab, Biocomplexity Institute of Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA.
Samarth SwarupNetwork Dynamics and Simulation Science Lab, Biocomplexity Institute of Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA.

Funding

Synthetic Information Systems for Better Informing Public Health PolicymakersU01GM070694 · NIGMS · VIRGINIA POLYTECHNIC INST AND ST UNIV · PI EUBANK, STEPHEN G, MARATHE, MADHAV VISHNU · 2004 to 2016
$8.6M
Systems Analysis of Social Pathways of Epidemics to Reduce Health DisparitiesR01GM109718 · NIGMS · VIRGINIA POLYTECHNIC INST AND ST UNIV · PI MARATHE, ACHLA, VULLIKANTI, ANIL · 2014 to 2022
$3.6M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM109718NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM070694
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Computational epidemiologists frequently employ large-scale agent-based simulations of human populations to study disease outbreaks and assess intervention strategies. The agents used in such simulations rarely capture the real-world decision-making of human beings. An absence of realistic agent behavior can undermine the reliability of insights generated by such simulations and might make them ill-suited for informing public health policies. In this paper, we address this problem by developing a methodology to create and calibrate an agent decision making model for a large multi-agent simulation, using survey data. Our method optimizes a cost vector associated with the various behaviors to match the behavior distributions observed in a detailed survey of human behaviors during influenza outbreaks. Our approach is a data-driven way of incorporating decision making for agents in large-scale epidemic simulations.

Indexed as

Agent based simulationHuman behavior modelingMarkov decision processes

Identifiers

PMID34305482
PMCPMC8300053

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.