Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34300044›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2021

Which National Factors Are Most Influential in the Spread of COVID-19?

Hakyong Kim, Catherine Apio, Yeonghyeon Ko, Kyulhee Han, Taewan Goo, Gyujin Heo, Taehyun Kim, Hye Won Chung, Doeun Lee, Jisun Lim and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Hakyong KimDepartment of Industrial Engineering, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-6021-5121
Catherine ApioInterdisciplinary Program in Bioinformatics, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-0240-794X
Yeonghyeon KoDepartment of Statistics, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-1523-8922
Kyulhee HanInterdisciplinary Program in Bioinformatics, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.
Taewan GooInterdisciplinary Program in Bioinformatics, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-9427-2290
Gyujin HeoInterdisciplinary Program in Bioinformatics, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-3499-2848
Taehyun KimDepartment of Statistics, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.
Hye Won ChungDepartment of Chemistry, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.
Doeun LeeInterdisciplinary Program in Bioinformatics, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.
Jisun LimThe Research Institute of Basic Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-1058-3292
Taesung ParkDepartment of Statistics, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-8294-590X

Funding

Science & Technology Policy Institute of Korea No. 0409-20200222
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The outbreak of the novel COVID-19, declared a global pandemic by WHO, is the most serious public health threat seen in terms of respiratory viruses since the 1918 H1N1 influenza pandemic. It is surprising that the total number of COVID-19 confirmed cases and the number of deaths has varied greatly across countries. Such great variations are caused by age population, health conditions, travel, economy, and environmental factors. Here, we investigated which national factors (life expectancy, aging index, human development index, percentage of malnourished people in the population, extreme poverty, economic ability, health policy, population, age distributions, etc.) influenced the spread of COVID-19 through systematic statistical analysis. First, we employed segmented growth curve models (GCMs) to model the cumulative confirmed cases for 134 countries from 1 January to 31 August 2020 (logistic and Gompertz). Thus, each country's COVID-19 spread pattern was summarized into three growth-curve model parameters. Secondly, we investigated the relationship of selected 31 national factors (from KOSIS and

Indexed as

COVID-19Influenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanHumansSARS-CoV-2TravelCOVID-19growth curve modelspandemicSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34300044
PMCPMC8307075

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.