Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34298597›Full record

ArticleCancers2021

Definition of Outcome-Based Prostate-Specific Antigen (PSA) Thresholds for Advanced Prostate Cancer Risk Prediction.

Simona Ferraro, Marco Bussetti, Niccolò Bassani, Roberta Simona Rossi, Giacomo Piero Incarbone, Filippo Bianchi, Marco Maggioni, Letterio Runza, Ferruccio Ceriotti, Mauro Panteghini

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancers, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
4.7field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Simona FerraroUnità Operativa Patologia Clinica, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Ospedale 'Luigi Sacco', Via GB Grassi 74, 20157 Milano, Italy.
Marco BussettiUnità Operativa Patologia Clinica, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Ospedale 'Luigi Sacco', Via GB Grassi 74, 20157 Milano, Italy.
Niccolò BassaniStatistical Consultant, Flat 5 Hazel Court Avenue, Hitchin SG4 9SJ, UK.
Roberta Simona RossiUnità Operativa Anatomia Patologica, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Ospedale 'Luigi Sacco', Via GB Grassi 74, 20157 Milano, Italy.
Giacomo Piero IncarboneUrologia, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Ospedale 'Luigi Sacco', Via GB Grassi 74, 20157 Milano, Italy.
Filippo BianchiUnità Operativa Anatomia Patologica, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Ospedale 'Luigi Sacco', Via GB Grassi 74, 20157 Milano, Italy.
Marco MaggioniUnità Operativa Anatomia Patologica, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico Via F. Sforza 35, 20122 Milano, Italy.
Letterio RunzaUnità Operativa Anatomia Patologica, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico Via F. Sforza 35, 20122 Milano, Italy.
Ferruccio CeriottiLaboratorio Analisi, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico Via F. Sforza 35, 20122 Milano, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-0958-5354
Mauro PanteghiniUnità Operativa Patologia Clinica, ASST Fatebenefratelli-Sacco, Ospedale 'Luigi Sacco', Via GB Grassi 74, 20157 Milano, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-7147-3433
Luigi Sacco Hospital · ITFondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico · ITUniversity of Milan · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We defined prostate-specific antigen (PSA) thresholds from a well calibrated risk prediction model for identifying and excluding advanced prostate cancer (PCa). We retrieved 902 biopsied patients with a pre-biopsy PSA determination (Roche assay). A logistic regression model predictive for PCa including the main effects [i.e., PSA, age, histological evidence of glandular inflammation (GI)] was built after testing the accuracy by calibration plots and Hosmer-Lemeshow test for goodness of fit. PSA thresholds were derived by assuming a diagnostic sensitivity of 95% (rule-out) and 80% (rule-in) for overall and advanced/poorly differentiated PCa. In patients without GI, serum PSA concentrations ≤ 4.1 (<65 years old) and ≤3.7 μg/L (≥65 years old) excluded an advanced PCa (defined as Gleason score ≥ 7 at biopsy), with a negative predictive value of 95.1% [95% confidence interval (CI): 83.0-98.7] and 88.8% (CI: 80.2-93.9), respectively, while PSA > 5.7 (<65) and >6.1 μg/L (≥65) should address biopsy referral. In presence of GI, PSA did not provide a valid estimate for risk of advanced cancer because of its higher variability and the low pre-test probability of PCa. The proposed PSA thresholds may support biopsy decision except for patients with asymptomatic prostatitis who cannot be pre-biopsy identified.

Indexed as

calibrationimmunoassayinflammationprostate cancerrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID34298597
PMCPMC8305281
OpenAlexW3178116500

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.