Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34296055›Full record

SynthesisJCO precision oncology2021

Tumor Response End Points as Surrogates for Overall Survival in Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Trials: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Peey-Sei Kok, Won-Hee Yoon, Sally Lord, Ian Marschner, Michael Friedlander, Chee Khoon Lee

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in JCO precision oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  5. Review
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  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Peey-Sei KokNational Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, Sydney, Australia.
Won-Hee YoonCancer Care Centre, St George Hospital, Sydney, Australia.
Sally LordNational Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, Sydney, Australia.
Ian MarschnerNational Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, Sydney, Australia.
Michael FriedlanderNelune Cancer Centre, Prince of Wales Hospital, Sydney, Australia.
Chee Khoon LeeNational Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, Sydney, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeMany immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have been approved on the basis of tumor response end points in nonrandomized trials, including objective response rate (ORR) and duration and depth of response. We aimed to assess the validity of these end points as surrogate end points for overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced solid tumors treated with ICIs at trial and treatment arm levels.

methodsICI trials in advanced solid cancers published between January 1, 2000, and March 31, 2020, were included. Correlations between ORR, durable response (DR) of ≥ 6 months, complete response (CR), and OS were assessed for treatment comparisons (trial-level) and for patients receiving ICI (arm-level), using weighted linear regression.

resultsSixty-three trials were eligible, including 58 randomized controlled trials and 20 nonrandomized controlled trials (78 ICI arms and 30,815 patients). The majority were phase III (63%), and OS was the most common primary end point (40%). In relative treatment comparisons, correlations between ORR risk ratio and OS hazard ratio (HR), 6-month DR ratio and OS HR, and CR ratio and OS HR were

conclusionRelative measures of tumor response (ORR, 6-month DR, and CR) are poor surrogate end points for OS in ICI studies. However, ORR and 6-month DR are prognostic of 12-month OS in ICI studies supporting their use for screening activity of novel agents in early-phase nonrandomized trials.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungLung NeoplasmsHumansImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsImmune Checkpoint Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID34296055
PMCPMC8289006

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.