Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34295700›Full record

ArticleCardiovascular diagnosis and therapy2021

Machine learning-based long-term outcome prediction in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

Shangyu Liu, Shengwen Yang, Anlu Xing, Lihui Zheng, Lishui Shen, Bin Tu, Yan Yao

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular diagnosis and therapy, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Shangyu LiuThe Cardiac Arrhythmia Center, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Shengwen YangBeijing Key Laboratory of Hypertension, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Anlu XingAutodesk, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Lihui ZhengThe Cardiac Arrhythmia Center, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Lishui ShenThe Cardiac Arrhythmia Center, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Bin TuThe Cardiac Arrhythmia Center, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Yan YaoThe Cardiac Arrhythmia Center, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College · CNAutodesk (United States) · USBeijing Chao-Yang Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTraditional prognostic risk assessment in patients with coronary artery disease undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is based on a limited selection of clinical and imaging findings. Machine learning (ML) can consider a higher number and complexity of variables and may be useful for characterising cardiovascular risk, predicting outcomes, and identifying biomarkers in large population studies.

methodsWe prospectively enrolled 9,680 consecutive patients with coronary artery disease who underwent PCI at our institution between January 2013 and December 2013. Clinical features were selected and used to train 6 different ML models (support vector machine, decision tree, random forest, gradient boosting decision tree, neural network, and logistic regression) to predict cardiovascular outcomes, 10-fold cross-validation to evaluate the performance of models.

resultsDuring the 5-year follow-up, 467 (4.82%) patients died. Eighty-seven risk baseline measurements were used to train ML models. Compared with the other models, the random forest model (RF-PCI) exhibited the best performance on predicting all-cause mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.71±0.04). Calibration plots demonstrated a slight overprediction for patients using the RF-PCI model (Hosmer-Lemeshow test: P>0.05). The top 15 features related to PCI candidates' long-term prognosis, among which 11 were laboratory measures.

conclusionsML models improved the prediction of long-term all-cause mortality in patients with coronary artery disease before PCI. The performance of the RF model was better than that of the other models, providing a meaningful stratification.

Indexed as

coronary heart diseaseMachine learning (ML)percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI)personalised medicinepredictive model

Identifiers

PMID34295700
PMCPMC8261740
OpenAlexW3160661418

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.