Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34292871›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Ongoing global and regional adaptive evolution of SARS-CoV-2.

Nash D Rochman, Yuri I Wolf, Guilhem Faure, Pascal Mutz, Feng Zhang, Eugene V Koonin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 175 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
175citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

175 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  8. "Fertile" Mutations in SARS-CoV-2 RNA More Frequently Occurred in Hairpin Loops That Determine Virus Evolution.APMIS : acta pathologica, microbiologica, et immunologica Scandinavica · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
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  12. Predicting high-fitness viral protein variants with Bayesian active learning and biophysics.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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  13. Article
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115 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Nash D RochmanNational Center for Biotechnology Information, National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, MD 20894; nash.rochman@nih.gov zhang@broadinstitute.org Koonin@ncbi.nlm.nih.gov.ORCID 0000-0002-7991-8505
Yuri I WolfNational Center for Biotechnology Information, National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, MD 20894.ORCID 0000-0002-0247-8708
Guilhem FaureBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02142.ORCID 0000-0001-9537-2277
Pascal MutzNational Center for Biotechnology Information, National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, MD 20894.ORCID 0000-0002-0430-2095
Feng ZhangBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02142; nash.rochman@nih.gov zhang@broadinstitute.org Koonin@ncbi.nlm.nih.gov.ORCID 0000-0002-7444-1103
Eugene V KooninNational Center for Biotechnology Information, National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, MD 20894; nash.rochman@nih.gov zhang@broadinstitute.org Koonin@ncbi.nlm.nih.gov.ORCID 0000-0003-3943-8299

Funding

Comparative Analysis Of Completely Sequenced GenomesZIALM000073 · NLM · NATIONAL LIBRARY OF MEDICINE · PI KOONIN, EUGENE V · 2009 to 2025
$43.1M
Center for Cell CircuitsRM1HG006193 · NHGRI · BROAD INSTITUTE, INC. · PI BLAINEY, PAUL CLARK, HACOHEN, NIR · 2016 to 2020
$14.9M
Programmable RNA-targeting toolsR01HG009761 · NHGRI · BROAD INSTITUTE, INC. · PI ZHANG, FENG · 2017 to 2024
$7.5M
Exploration of Diverse Mobile Genetic Elements for Precision Genome ManipulationDP1HL141201 · NHLBI · BROAD INSTITUTE, INC. · PI ZHANG, FENG · 2017 to 2021
$6.2M
Howard Hughes Medical InstituteIntramural NIH HHS 1DP1 HL141201Intramural NIH HHS 1R01 HG009761NHGRI NIH HHS R01 HG009761NHGRI NIH HHS RM1 HG006193NHLBI NIH HHS DP1 HL141201
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the trends in severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) evolution is paramount to control the COVID-19 pandemic. We analyzed more than 300,000 high-quality genome sequences of SARS-CoV-2 variants available as of January 2021. The results show that the ongoing evolution of SARS-CoV-2 during the pandemic is characterized primarily by purifying selection, but a small set of sites appear to evolve under positive selection. The receptor-binding domain of the spike protein and the region of the nucleocapsid protein associated with nuclear localization signals (NLS) are enriched with positively selected amino acid replacements. These replacements form a strongly connected network of apparent epistatic interactions and are signatures of major partitions in the SARS-CoV-2 phylogeny. Virus diversity within each geographic region has been steadily growing for the entirety of the pandemic, but analysis of the phylogenetic distances between pairs of regions reveals four distinct periods based on global partitioning of the tree and the emergence of key mutations. The initial period of rapid diversification into region-specific phylogenies that ended in February 2020 was followed by a major extinction event and global homogenization concomitant with the spread of D614G in the spike protein, ending in March 2020. The NLS-associated variants across multiple partitions rose to global prominence in March to July, during a period of stasis in terms of interregional diversity. Finally, beginning in July 2020, multiple mutations, some of which have since been demonstrated to enable antibody evasion, began to emerge associated with ongoing regional diversification, which might be indicative of speciation.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularAdaptation, PhysiologicalAmino Acid SubstitutionCoronavirus Nucleocapsid ProteinsCOVID-19COVID-19 TestingEpistasis, GeneticGenome, ViralHumansImmune EvasionMutationNuclear Localization SignalsPhosphoproteinsPhylogenyProtein Interaction Domains and MotifsSARS-CoV-2Coronavirus Nucleocapsid ProteinsNuclear Localization Signalsnucleocapsid phosphoprotein, SARS-CoV-2PhosphoproteinsSpike Glycoprotein, Coronavirusspike protein, SARS-CoV-2ancestral reconstructionepistasisglobalizationphylogenySARS-Cov-2

Identifiers

PMID34292871
PMCPMC8307621

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.