Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34292654›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2021

Long-term increases in pathogen seroprevalence in polar bears (Ursus maritimus) influenced by climate change.

Nicholas W Pilfold, Evan S Richardson, John Ellis, Emily Jenkins, W Brad Scandrett, Adrián Hernández-Ortiz, Kayla Buhler, David McGeachy, Batol Al-Adhami, Kelly Konecsni and 4 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.7field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 38 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2025
    Review
  7. Zoonotic infections of the Canadian Arctic.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2025
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Assessing the impact of preventative measures to limit the spread of Toxoplasma gondii in wild carnivores of Madagascar.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Socio-economic predictors of Inuit hunting choices and their implications for climate change adaptation.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Food and waterborne parasitology · 2023
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Immunoproteomic Analysis ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Nicholas W PilfoldConservation Science and Wildlife Health, San Diego Zoo Wildlife Alliance, Escondido, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5324-5499
Evan S RichardsonWildlife Research Division, Science and Technology Branch, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.
John EllisDepartment of Veterinary Microbiology, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.
Emily JenkinsDepartment of Veterinary Microbiology, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.
W Brad ScandrettCentre for Food-borne and Animal Parasitology, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.
Adrián Hernández-OrtizDepartment of Veterinary Microbiology, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.
Kayla BuhlerDepartment of Veterinary Microbiology, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.
David McGeachyWildlife Research Division, Science and Technology Branch, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
Batol Al-AdhamiCentre for Food-borne and Animal Parasitology, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.
Kelly KonecsniCentre for Food-borne and Animal Parasitology, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.
Vladislav A LobanovCentre for Food-borne and Animal Parasitology, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.
Megan A OwenConservation Science and Wildlife Health, San Diego Zoo Wildlife Alliance, Escondido, CA, USA.
Bruce RideoutConservation Science and Wildlife Health, San Diego Zoo Wildlife Alliance, Escondido, CA, USA.
Nicholas J LunnWildlife Research Division, Science and Technology Branch, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
Canadian Food Inspection Agency · CAUniversity of Saskatchewan · CAEnvironment and Climate Change Canada · CASan Diego Zoo Institute for Conservation Research · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The influence of climate change on wildlife disease dynamics is a burgeoning conservation and human health issue, but few long-term studies empirically link climate to pathogen prevalence. Polar bears (Ursus maritimus) are vulnerable to the negative impacts of sea ice loss as a result of accelerated Arctic warming. While studies have associated changes in polar bear body condition, reproductive output, survival, and abundance to reductions in sea ice, no long-term studies have documented the impact of climate change on pathogen exposure. We examined 425 serum samples from 381 adult polar bears, collected in western Hudson Bay (WH), Canada, for antibodies to selected pathogens across three time periods: 1986-1989 (n = 157), 1995-1998 (n = 159) and 2015-2017 (n = 109). We ran serological assays for antibodies to seven pathogens: Toxoplasma gondii, Neospora caninum, Trichinella spp., Francisella tularensis, Bordetella bronchiseptica, canine morbillivirus (CDV) and canine parvovirus (CPV). Seroprevalence of zoonotic parasites (T. gondii, Trichinella spp.) and bacterial pathogens (F. tularensis, B. bronchiseptica) increased significantly between 1986-1989 and 1995-1998, ranging from +6.2% to +20.8%, with T. gondii continuing to increase into 2015-2017 (+25.8% overall). Seroprevalence of viral pathogens (CDV, CPV) and N. caninum did not change with time. Toxoplasma gondii seroprevalence was higher following wetter summers, while seroprevalences of Trichinella spp. and B. bronchiseptica were positively correlated with hotter summers. Seroprevalence of antibodies to F. tularensis increased following years polar bears spent more days on land, and polar bears previously captured in human settlements were more likely to be seropositive for Trichinella spp. As the Arctic has warmed due to climate change, zoonotic pathogen exposure in WH polar bears has increased, driven by numerous altered ecosystem pathways.

Indexed as

UrsidaeAnimalsArctic RegionsClimate ChangeDogsEcosystemHumansIce CoverSeroepidemiologic StudiesArcticclimate changeserologyUrsus maritimuswildlife diseasezoonosis

Identifiers

PMID34292654
PMCPMC8457125
OpenAlexW3184087071

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.