Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34291321›Full record

ArticleGastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association2022

Development of a predictive model for extragastric recurrence after curative resection for early gastric cancer.

Jae Seok Bae, Won Chang, Se Hyung Kim, Yunhee Choi, Seong-Ho Kong, Hyuk-Joon Lee, Han-Kwang Yang, Yoonjin Kwak, Hyung-Ho Kim, Joon Koo Han

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jae Seok Bae *Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.
Won Chang *Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do, 13620, Republic of Korea.
Se Hyung KimDepartment of Radiology, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea. shkim7071@gmail.com.
Yunhee ChoiDivision of Biostatistics, Medical Research Collaborating Center, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.
Seong-Ho KongDepartment of Surgery, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.
Hyuk-Joon LeeDepartment of Surgery, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.
Han-Kwang YangDepartment of Surgery, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.
Yoonjin KwakDepartment of Pathology, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.
Hyung-Ho KimDepartment of Surgery, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do, 13620, Republic of Korea.
Joon Koo HanDepartment of Radiology, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, Republic of Korea.
Seoul National University Hospital · KRSeoul National University · KRSeoul National University Bundang Hospital · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundStratification of patients who undergo curative resection for early gastric cancer (EGC) is warranted due to the heterogeneity in the risk of developing extragastric recurrence (EGR). Therefore, we aimed to stratify the need for postoperative surveillance for EGR detection in patients with EGC by developing a model for predicting EGR-free survival.

methodsThis retrospective cohort study included patients who underwent postoperative surveillance after curative resection of EGC (n = 4149). Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify predictors to build a model for predicting EGR-free survival. Bootstrap-corrected c-index and calibration plots were used for internal and external (n = 2148) validations.

resultsA risk-scoring system was constructed using variables significantly associated with EGR-free survival: pathologic T stage (pT1b[sm1], hazard ratio [HR] 4.928; pT1b[sm2], HR 5.235; pT1b[sm3], HR 7.748) and N stage (pN1, HR 4.056; pN2, HR 9.075; pN3, HR 30.659). Patients were dichotomized into a very-low-risk group or a low-or-greater-risk group. The 5-year EGR-free survival rates differed between the two groups (99.9 vs. 97.3%). The discriminative performance of the model was 0.851 (Uno's c-index) and 0.751 in the internal and external cohorts, respectively. The calibration slope was 0.916 and 1.131 in the internal and external cohorts, respectively.

conclusionsOur model for predicting EGR-free survival based on the pathologic T and N stages may be useful for stratifying patients who have undergone curative surgery for EGC. The results suggest that patients in the very-low-risk group may be spared from postoperative surveillance considering their extremely high EGR-free survival rate.

Indexed as

Stomach NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerGastrectomyHumansNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsGeneral surgeryRetrospective studiesStomach neoplasmsTreatment outcomeWatchful waiting

Identifiers

PMID34291321
OpenAlexW3183450290

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.