Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34287840›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2022

Pan-cancer analysis of prognostic metastatic phenotypes.

Nicholas G Zaorsky, Xi Wang, Sara M Garrett, Eric J Lehrer, Christine Lin, David J DeGraff, Daniel E Spratt, Daniel M Trifiletti, Amar U Kishan, Timothy N Showalter and 4 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A novel nomogram incorporating LASSO and Cox regression analyses for predicting survival in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer patients following sublobectomy.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 9 institutions in 1 country.

Nicholas G ZaorskyDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Penn State Cancer Institute, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4932-1986
Xi WangDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA.
Sara M GarrettDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Penn State Cancer Institute, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9220-0947
Eric J LehrerDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA.
Christine LinDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Penn State Cancer Institute, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA.
David J DeGraffDivision of Experimental Pathology, Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA.
Daniel E SprattDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University Hospitals Seidman Cancer Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, USA.
Daniel M TrifilettiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Mayo Clinic Jacksonville, Jacksonville, Florida, USA.
Amar U KishanDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Timothy N ShowalterDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA.
Henry S ParkDepartment of Therapeutic Radiology, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Jonathan T YangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York, USA.
Vernon M ChinchilliDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA.
Ming WangDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA.
Pennsylvania State University · USIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USJacksonville College · USMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USPenn State Milton S. Hershey Medical Center · USUniversity Hospitals Seidman Cancer Center · USUniversity of California, Los Angeles · USUniversity of Virginia · USYale University · US

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NCI NIH HHS L30 CA231572NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although cancer is highly heterogeneous, all metastatic cancer is considered American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Stage IV disease. The purpose of this project was to redefine staging of metastatic cancer. Internal validation of nationally representative patient data from the National Cancer Database (n = 461 357; 2010-2013), and external validation using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database (n = 106 595; 2014-2015) were assessed using the concordance index for evaluation of survival prediction. A Cox proportional hazards model was used for overall survival by considering identified phenotypes (latent classes) and other confounding variables. Latent class analysis was performed for phenotype identification, where Bayesian information criterion (BIC) and sample-size-adjusted BIC were used to select the optimal number of distinct clusters. Kappa coefficients assessed external cluster validation. Latent class analysis identified five metastatic phenotypes with differences in overall survival (P < .0001): (Stage IVA) nearly exclusive bone-only metastases (n = 59 049, 12.8%; median survival 12.7 months; common in lung, breast and prostate cancers); (IVB) predominant lung metastases (n = 62 491, 13.5%; 11.4 months; common in breast, stomach, kidney, ovary, uterus, thyroid, cervix and soft tissue cancers); (IVC) predominant liver/lung metastases (n = 130 014, 28.2%; 7.0 months; common in colorectum, pancreatic, lung, esophagus and stomach cancers); (IVD) bone/liver/lung metastases predominant over brain (n = 61 004, 13.2%; 5.9 months; common in lung and breast cancers); and (IVE) brain/lung metastases predominant over bone/liver (n = 148 799, 32.3%; 5.7 months; lung cancer and melanoma). Long-term survivors were identified, particularly in Stages IVA-B. A pan-cancer nomogram model to predict survival (STARS: site, tumor, age, race, sex) was created, validated and provides 13% better prognostication than AJCC: 1-month concordance index of 0.67 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.66-0.67) vs 0.61 (95% CI: 0.60-0.61). STARS is simple, uses easily accessible variables, better prognosticates survival outcomes and provides a platform to develop novel metastasis-directed clinical trials.

Indexed as

NomogramsPhenotypeAdultFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm MetastasisNeoplasmsPrognosisSurvival RateYoung Adultcancerdeathmetastasisphenotypeprediction

Identifiers

PMID34287840
PMCPMC8595638
OpenAlexW3184091959

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.