Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34271292›Full record

ArticleJournal of adolescence2021

Life-course predictors of homelessness from adolescence into adulthood: A population-based cohort study.

Jessica A Heerde, Jennifer A Bailey, Adrian B Kelly, Barbara J McMorris, George C Patton, John W Toumbourou

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of adolescence, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Shelter to Survival: Unpacking the Health Impacts of Housing Insecurity Across the Life Course.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Jessica A HeerdeDepartment of Paediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Honorary Research Fellow, The Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Australia. Electronic address: jessica.heerde@unimelb.edu.au.
Jennifer A BaileySocial Development Research Group, School of Social Work, University of Washington, USA.
Adrian B KellySchool of Psychology and Counselling, Queensland University of Technology, Australia.
Barbara J McMorrisSchool of Nursing, University of Minnesota, USA.
George C PattonProfessorial Fellow in Adolescent Health Research, Department of Paediatrics, The University of Melbourne, Centre for Adolescent Health, Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Australia.
John W ToumbourouCentre for Social and Early Emotional Development, School of Psychology, Deakin University; and Centre for Adolescent Health, Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Australia.
Murdoch Children's Research Institute · AUQueensland University of Technology · AUUniversity of Melbourne · AUUniversity of Minnesota System · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

ETIOLOGY OF SUBSTANCE USE IN AUSTRALIA /USAR01DA012140 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI CATALANO, RICHARD F · 2000 to 2004
$4.2M
Testing cross-national similarities and differences in adolescent and early adult individual and environmental predictors of adult alcohol use and related problemsR01AA025029 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI BAILEY, JENNIFER A · 2017 to 2021
$2.2M
Environment-person Influences on the Development of Early Alcohol Use and MisuseR01AA017188 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI CATALANO, RICHARD F · 2008 to 2010
$1.2M
NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA017188NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA025029NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA012140
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionInternationally, the prevalence of young adult homelessness is concerning. Few data on life-course predictors from longitudinal studies exist, limiting our capacity to inform prevention strategies at the population-level.

methodsData were drawn from a state representative population-based sample of young adults from Victoria, Australia participating in the International Youth Development Study (IYDS; N = 927, 54% female). Participants were recruited in state-representative secondary school samples at Grade 7 (age 13, 2002), with follow-up in Grades 9 (age 15) and 11 (age 17) and at ages 21, 23 and 25. Using longitudinal path modelling, we conducted a series of analyses testing life-course predictors of young adult homelessness across multiple socializing contexts, and the interrelationships among them.

resultsThe rate of young adult homelessness was 5.5%. Path modelling showed higher levels of family conflict at ages 13 and 15 uniquely predicted homelessness by age 25. This effect remained after accounting for other risk factors in peer-group (e.g., interactions with antisocial peers), school (e.g., low academic performance), and community contexts (e.g., low neighborhood attachment). Peer drug use and interaction with antisocial peers at age 15 mediated the association between family conflict at age 13 and homelessness by age 25.

conclusionsFindings point to the vulnerability of early adolescents to family conflict. This vulnerability heightens risk for young adult homelessness. Findings strengthen the case for both primary prevention programs that build healthy relationships between family members from early on in adolescence and for investment in homelessness prevention at key developmental periods.

Indexed as

Ill-Housed PersonsAdolescentAdultAntisocial Personality DisorderCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMalePeer GroupVictoriaYoung AdultAdolescent risk factorsAntisocial peersFamily conflictLongitudinalPeer drug useYoung adult homelessness

Identifiers

PMID34271292
PMCPMC8423126
OpenAlexW3179596022

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.