Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34267857›Full record

ArticleBayesian analysis2021

A Phase I-II Basket Trial Design to Optimize Dose-Schedule Regimes Based on Delayed Outcomes.

Ruitao Lin, Peter F Thall, Ying Yuan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bayesian analysis, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Bayesian modelling strategies for borrowing of information in randomised basket trials.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics · 2022
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Ruitao LinDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas 77030, U.S.A.
Peter F ThallDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas 77030, U.S.A.
Ying YuanDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas 77030, U.S.A.

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Scott Kopetz · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
Targeting the PI3K Signaling Pathway in Endometrial CarcinomaP50CA098258 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI BODURKA, DIANE · 2003 to 2020
$32.0M
PR1-specific CB T cells for Patients with Myeloid MalignanciesP01CA148600 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI KAUR, INDRESHPAL · 2011 to 2022
$24.4M
Project 3: Inhibiting Oxidative Phosphorylation in Pancreatic CancerP50CA221707 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI KOPETZ, SCOTT, MAITRA, ANIRBAN · 2019 to 2023
$11.0M
The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center SPORE in MelanomaP50CA221703 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI DAVIES, MICHAEL · 2019 to 2023
$10.3M
U.T. M. D. Anderson Cancer Center SPORE in Ovarian CancerP50CA217685 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI SOOD, ANIL K · 2017 to 2021
$7.9M
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA148600NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS P50 CA098258NCI NIH HHS P50 CA217685NCI NIH HHS P50 CA221703NCI NIH HHS P50 CA221707
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This paper proposes a Bayesian adaptive basket trial design to optimize the dose-schedule regimes of an experimental agent within disease subtypes, called "baskets", for phase I-II clinical trials based on late-onset efficacy and toxicity. To characterize the association among the baskets and regimes, a Bayesian hierarchical model is assumed that includes a heterogeneity parameter, adaptively updated during the trial, that quantifies information shared across baskets. To account for late-onset outcomes when doing sequential decision making, unobserved outcomes are treated as missing values and imputed by exploiting early biomarker and low-grade toxicity information. Elicited joint utilities of efficacy and toxicity are used for decision making. Patients are randomized adaptively to regimes while accounting for baskets, with randomization probabilities proportional to the posterior probability of achieving maximum utility. Simulations are presented to assess the design's robustness and ability to identify optimal dose-schedule regimes within disease subtypes, and to compare it to a simplified design that treats the subtypes independently.

Indexed as

60K35Adaptive randomizationbasket trialBayesian designmissing dataoptimal treatment regimephase I-II clinical trialPrimary 60K35secondary 60K35

Identifiers

PMID34267857
PMCPMC8277108

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.